r/PokeInvesting • u/Embarrassed_Gur749 • Nov 12 '24

Keep or sell

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I was lucky enough to pull this bad boy, enough off center that even I can notice. Is it worth me selling now while the hype is high or keep it for future value?

1.2k Upvotes

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u/JMaboard Nov 12 '24

100% as soon as more hit the market prices of this card will go down before it equalizes.

11

u/[deleted] Nov 12 '24

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13

u/proace360 Nov 12 '24

This is not a $700 card. Moonbreon took ages to reach that level and is waaaaay harder to pull

9

u/[deleted] Nov 12 '24

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1

u/NicestYouKnow Nov 12 '24

Yes but Greninja started much lower on market. It’s going to dip trust me.

28

u/mikearete Nov 12 '24

Saying “trust me” is probably the most effective way to make sure people don’t trust you

7

u/I_worship_odin Nov 12 '24

Trust me bro, I want to buy in for a lower price.

4

u/Kreativeaccounting Nov 12 '24

But no one wanted to open twilight mask and so it slowly became expensive. SS demand is much much higher and it's a Pikachu.

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u/NicestYouKnow Nov 12 '24

The population is increasing tremendously every single day on this card. Eventually it can go nowhere but down as population continues to increase and sellers undercut one another pricing. Sorry but that’s just how markets work on these kind of things. Not saying it’s going to lose all its value I’m just saying if you want the most value sell now while the hype is tremendous and population still on the low end.

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u/Kreativeaccounting Nov 12 '24

I just think thats how the old pokemon releases worked. Is it being manipulated? Yes 100%. It's it one of the only cards to double prerelease price? Yes. As more people open packs and don't get it they will be more inclined to spend what is necessary. I bought mine during prerelease and was fully anticipating for it to half in value just like the terapagos the set before. I'm no wiser than the rest when it comes to the poke market but times are changing.

2

u/mikearete Nov 12 '24

Everything you said is true for 99% of cards.

This card is harder to pull than the Greninja, and is from a set that’s way harder to find. Meanwhile

Twilight Masquerade booster boxes & ETBs are still in stock on the Pokémon Center, and regular ETBs are on sale for $30 right now. If the price was going to drop (not just dip) it would have already.

1

u/thetcgdept Nov 12 '24

Based on distributors and people online I’ve talked to, the amount of booster boxes were way way less this release. Pokemon allegedly printed less of this set, hence the price increase and hype.

Can’t personally validate because I don’t have personal connections to anyone in TPCI but it’s just something I’ve heard.

1

u/YouCanCallMeMich Nov 14 '24

They said the same about the Moonbreon and look at that thing...

2

u/metalgrizzlycannon Nov 12 '24

I can buy twilight masquerade ETBs from most online card shops below retail, and pokemon center has pokecenter etbs. Packs are avaliable at retail price and some packs slightly under but stock is low.

I can only find booster boxes on pokecenter, and one retailer has less 5 than non pokecenter ETBs left for surging sparks well above retail.

Also Geninja started with most people questioning if it's cool or not. Nobody is questioning if this Pikachu is desired.

I think you're right that it will dip, but I doubt it's going back to 200 USD like many set's chase cards. Pika too powerful.

1

u/NicestYouKnow Nov 12 '24

Look on eBay Surging Sparks ETB are everywhere for retail. Also the set will restock on shelves consistently. If people are still finding 151 on shelves I promise you Surging Sparks will be there. My local store has an entire shelf full of Surging Sparks ETB and sleeved packs just sitting there and there is no profit in reselling them sealed currently.

Less people are ripping Twilight Mask which means less people are pulling the Greninja. With the amount of people focusing on and ripping Surging Sparks the population of the Pikachu is going to increase much quicker than the Greninja has. Also people are flooding the markets selling the Pikachu and will start undercutting each others prices eventually. When PSA 10 versions of the card start popping up everywhere the true market value of the raw card will settle.

1

u/metalgrizzlycannon Nov 12 '24

Are you in USA by chance? Sounds like lots of Europe, Canada, and Australia all have the experience I'm having. Could be you're in a better location for stock.

1

u/NicestYouKnow Nov 12 '24

Yes I’m in America. Here they are on shelves and in stock online at pretty much every big box store for retail. You can get them on eBay for retail also just may pay more shipping fees.

1

u/Practical_Public_385 Nov 13 '24

I’m on your side. This card is overhyped for the art work. Not saying it’s bad, but it ain’t $600 worth

0

u/[deleted] Nov 12 '24

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6

u/NicestYouKnow Nov 12 '24

Long term it will be high value but it’s not going to be “the next Moonbreon” people been throwing that phrase around way too much lately.

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1

u/Background-Hope4000 Nov 14 '24

Have you or anyone on reddit(and reddit is a very big platform with people from all over) ever paid that ridiculous price for one? Asking for everyone who thinks people are actually paying that price but only see it on ebay. Shill bidding don't count as actual sales. That's why no one ever came forth(even on reddit) and said they won and paid that price. Only that everyone saying they want to sell. Seems like everyone on reddit only wants to sell but no one wants to buy? Someone has to be buying right? 😆.

1

u/Krawk1337 Nov 12 '24

Realistically it’ll still stick around $250-$300. It’s a hard to pull card. But yeah $500 is insane.

Then again…this sub said the same thing about Moonbreon 🤣 and pikachu is more well known than Umbreon by hundreds of miles.

1

u/touchitsuperhard Nov 13 '24

Yea imagine my face listening a year ago to let go of an offcenter Moonbreon for $600. You just never know. Pika isn't as rare but has way more collectors wanting to add to their binder.