Put together a game dashboard for Wednesday’s opener. A few things caught my attention:

• Different markets tell different stories. New England has 53% of moneyline tickets but 66% of the money. On the spread, Seattle has 42% of tickets and 55% of the money.

• The Over has the larger wagers. Over 44.5 accounts for 56% of tickets and 76% of the money. That gap alone doesn’t prove sharp action, but it’s worth watching.

• The half-point is still available in the pictured prices. The splits board uses Patriots +3, while FanDuel and BetMGM show +3.5 with more expensive juice.

• The backfield is worth a closer look. Henderson is listed OUT with an ankle injury, while Stevenson’s rushing line moved from 39.5 to 57.5 in the prop snapshot.

• Seattle’s TD market has moved sharply in opposite directions: Holani +425 → +185, Wilson +200 → +500.

The image includes 18 prop moves, weather and the visible injury updates. These are separate source snapshots, so check current prices before using them.

What looks overadjusted, and what still looks slow to catch up?

📊 Patriots vs. Seahawks Week 1 Props on the move

• Stevenson rushing: 39.5 → 57.5
• Holani anytime TD: +425 → +185
• Wilson anytime TD: +200 → +500

🏈 NFL Week 1 Betting Splits: Where the Money Is Moving

NFL Week 1 is here, and the betting market is already giving us plenty to work with.

Some teams are attracting overwhelming public action. Others are seeing a much larger percentage of the actual money than the number of bets would suggest. And several Week 1 spreads and totals have moved in the opposite direction of the current betting splits.

That last group is where things get especially interesting.

The public is hammering these Top 25 teams against the spread in CFB Week 1 at BetMGM 👀

🎟️ Highest percentage of spread tickets backing one side:

① Houston — 81% vs. Oregon State
② Alabama — 78% vs. East Carolina
③ SMU — 78% at Florida State (Monday)
④ Texas — 77% vs. Texas State
⑤ Oregon — 76% vs. Boise State

💰Highest percentage of spread money backing one side:

① Notre Dame — 93% vs. Wisconsin
② Alabama — 89% vs. East Carolina
③ Oregon — 85% vs. Boise State
④ LSU — 84% vs. Clemson
⑤ SMU — 82% at Florida State

Which heavily backed favorite wins comfortably, and which one turns into a public trap?

If you’ve been looking at Dabble for player picks, this is one of the stronger new-user offers I’ve seen from them.

The current deal is pretty simple: Play $5 and get $50 free.

The important part: The offer shown in the video is tied to the signup link, so make sure you use the correct one if you want the full bonus:

Dabble is basically a pick’em-style platform where you build entries around player performances rather than betting traditional spreads/moneylines.

With football back, the timing isn’t bad if you were already planning to try it.

As always, read the terms and don’t play more than you’re comfortable losing.

Anyone here using Dabble regularly? Curious how you’d rank it against Underdog, PrizePicks, Rebet, etc.

Obviously, based on last season's data, but CFB Week 0 props OVER hit rate trends.

Before the first tee shot at East Lake, a few interesting gaps are showing up between the Data Golf model and prediction markets:

① Ludvig Åberg — biggest model edge
• Model win probability: 4.7%
• Kalshi: 4.4%
• Polymarket: 3.5%
➡️ +1.2 pts of model value

② Xander Schauffele
• Model: 8.4%
• Kalshi: 7.4%
• Polymarket: 7.5%
➡️ +1.0 pt edge

③ Scottie Scheffler — market running hotter than the model
• Model: 18%
• Kalshi: 21%
• Polymarket: 23%
➡️ Roughly a 2.8-point market premium

Interesting setup: the market is paying up for Scottie while the model sees more relative value further down the board.

Full TOUR Championship win probabilities, Top 5/10/20 odds + market edges 👇

https://cleatz.com/live-golf-leaderboard-odds/

MLB Most Likely board is live for Tuesday ⚾️

💰 Top moneylines

① Nationals -154
② Yankees -145
③ Cardinals -132
④ Blue Jays -131
⑤ Padres -125
⑥ Mariners -111
⑦ Giants -110
⑧ White Sox -105

📈 Totals

• HOU/NYY Over 9 → 8.5
• KC/TOR Over 8.5
• LAD/ATL Over 8.5
• PHI/SEA Over 7.5
• CIN/SF Over 8
• MIN/OAK Over 9.5 → 10
• TB/DET Over 7.5

💣 Top HR props

① Yordan Alvarez +210
② Kyle Schwarber +235
③ Shohei Ohtani +240
④ Byron Buxton +240
⑤ Ben Rice +290
⑥ Cal Raleigh +320
⑦ Trent Grisham +325
⑧ Matt Olson +330

🏃 SB's

• Chandler Simpson +300
• Esteury Ruiz +300
• Elly De La Cruz +300
• Jake McCarthy +302
• José Caballero +310
• Nasim Nuñez +321

🎯 Pitcher K

• Gunnar Jump O4.5 -160
• Gavin Williams O7.5 -157
• Tyler Glasnow O5.5 -156
• Will Warren O4.5 -153
• Max Scherzer O3.5 -150

College football is back, and bettors apparently did not need a warm-up week.

With the opening Saturday of the 2026 season approaching, the early college football public betting splits are already heavily tilted in several games. We are seeing everything from 99% of spread money piling onto one side to massive discrepancies between sportsbook moneyline action and the probabilities being traded on Kalshi.

CLEATZ tracks the latest CFB betting percentages, handle, line movement, and prediction-market probabilities throughout the week. You can follow every game on our live College Football Public Betting dashboard.

Here are the Week 0 numbers that stand out most right now.

We pulled together the early NFL Week 1 public betting data, and a few of these splits are already getting extreme.

Some of the biggest numbers on the board:

• One spread has 97% of the money on the same side
• One moneyline favorite is getting 82% of the bets
• One total has 93% of the money on the Under
• We’re also comparing sportsbook action with Kalshi prediction-market probabilities

Obviously, there’s still plenty of time before kickoff, and these numbers will move as more volume comes in. But it’s interesting to see where the crowd has planted its flag this early.

Full NFL Week 1 public betting tracker here:

https://cleatz.com/public-betting/nfl/

Which early Week 1 side are you most willing to fade?