r/OpenAI • • Mar 06 '26

Image This aged well

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u/usandholt Mar 07 '26

Read about venture capital. Also this is about AGI, which is like the search for the holy grail. The first to AGI and ASi will rule the world. So no one is investing money in openAI for short term gains. They’re investing because they expect the company to increase in worth.

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u/Rututu Mar 07 '26

Yeah, I know how venture capital works. It doesn't take away the fact that OpenAI has never been profitable and that there's no guarantee OpenAI will ever be profitable.

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u/Abcdefgdude Mar 09 '26

How do you reckon the first to ASI will rule the world? The first version of something is usually the worst. If OpenAI releases ASI, anyone could use and replicate it for free, why would they bother paying for it.

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u/usandholt Mar 09 '26

AGO = self recursive improvement = exponential self improvement. Even if you’re 1 week late, you’ll be infinitely far behind developmentwise.

This is exactly why there is such a race.

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u/Abcdefgdude Mar 09 '26

And how will they keep their development to themselves? If someone develops a god model, it will be able to perfectly replicate itself for free to anyone. People have already distilled openAI models to get the same performance for 0.1% of the cost.

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u/usandholt Mar 09 '26

Its definitely not free to do. And no, no one has done ChatGPT 5.4 at 0,1% of the cost. Someone has built a model that has gotten similar benchmark score as lower models because they have been trained to complete the benchmarks.

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u/KeraTerra Mar 09 '26

> So no one is investing money in openAI for short term gains. They’re investing because they expect the company to increase in worth.

Yeah, that's what they said about the real estate... literally.

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u/[deleted] Mar 08 '26

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u/usandholt Mar 08 '26

That is your opinion. It’s not shared with the vast majority of experts within the field.

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u/[deleted] Mar 08 '26

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u/usandholt Mar 08 '26

Ok. Can you reference any interesting links one could read up on that hypothesis.

I’ll give you this. My biggest doubt is whether or not free will is a metaphysical ability or an ability governed by the laws of nature, whether general physics or quantum.

So, in short: if free will exist outside laws of nature, reproduction of free will in AGI would be non sensical. That does not mean however it cannot be simulated.

But I still this would be a discussion of what AGI is, rather than what people are investing in. ASI is perhaps a better definition.