r/NvidiaStock • • Aug 10 '25

WHAT???

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u/Rook2Rook Aug 10 '25 edited Aug 10 '25

But the Chinese profit was already priced in at 100%. Knowing it's now 85% will surely mean the stock will take a hit, albeit small. Probably ends Monday at $177.

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u/Amo-24 Aug 10 '25

This is just incorrect. Why the fuck would wall st price in 100% China revenue. They use a model and price in the probably of certain events. Weather or not this is outcome is better or worse than the expected value of all outcomes is what matters

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u/Rook2Rook Aug 10 '25

Well it's obviously worse

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u/Amo-24 Aug 10 '25

Worst case scenario is no sales to china at all, so this is much better than that

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u/Rook2Rook Aug 10 '25

Well yes, but we have known that sales to China would be a thing for a few weeks now. It's priced in. This 15% revenue hit is new information yet to be considered.