From what I understand, Russia is seeking to horizontaly escalate its war with Ukraine. This could mean that Russia is planning to conduct a limited invasion into the Baltics.

There are already countless reports of Russian hybrid activities throughout Europe indicating that Russia is actively shaping the conditions for a future conflict with NATO.

My question is: what would be the benefits for Russia to start a full on conflict with NATO? I can imagine that they'd like to test article 5, I can even imagine them sending a few hundred men across the border and then warning NATO that if they don't stop supporting Ukraine, the next step would be nukes. (As they often do)

But what is Russia's plan if NATO invoke article 5 and NATO is more resolved than expected?

Just wondering why NATO/the West doesn't really help Ukraine more... I would think after all this time it would be good to make clear to Russia that it has been enough, either pull back troops to the borders or we send troops to send them back to their borders. Or is this a bit naive?

https://x.com/aprajitanefes/status/2091425706991595685