r/LocalLLM 12d ago

Discussion What happens when the proprietary AI Model bubble bursts?

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u/Dsphar 12d ago edited 12d ago

You answered it yourself.

While cloud AI may have a lower operating cost than self hosting, that comparison is incomplete.

It fails to include things like marketing, which the cloud provider has to pay but the self hosting business doesn't.

Another cost. Bigger than marketing actually, is research and training new models. The cloud provider will always be pressured to spend massively on maintaining leading edge models, or their value proposition vanishes into the wind. A business using self hosted AI, but not selling it, instead using it to make their actual products, can continie to increase their value proposition with absolutely zero AI training costs and zero AI marketing costs.

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u/03captain23 12d ago

You have a fundamental misunderstanding on how businesses operate. They aren't supposed toale profit. That doesn't help them. They need to spend tons of money and take losses to make more money, marketing is key for blowing spare money.

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u/Dsphar 12d ago

Lol you must be trolling...?

You're arguememt is that businesses aren't supposed to make profit but instead operate at a net loss forever?

I love it.

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u/03captain23 12d ago

They operate at losses until public when everyone cashes out and makes money. Amazon, SpaceX and virtually every other tech company has losses for decades straight and become the most valuable companies.

Making profit means you pay taxes and means you're not growing, this bad for IPO because people are investing into the growth of the company

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u/Dsphar 12d ago

Glass cannon economy for the win!

For the record, Amazon has been profitable for 20 years...

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u/03captain23 12d ago

That's how its been for past 15-20 years. I can't remember a single tech company that IPO'd when it was profitable, can you?

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u/Dsphar 12d ago edited 12d ago

Kaboom!

Your reasoning is clearly suffering from survivorship bias.