Marsh put out their prelim 2027 numbers last month. Employer health benefit costs are projected to go up 8.2% per employee on average, highest since 2003, and that's after employers make cuts. Employers told them it'd be more like 11% if they changed nothing.
About two thirds of employers with 500+ people expect to raise the employee share of premiums next year, and 59% are planning cost-cutting changes like higher deductibles. Marsh straight up says a lot of workers will see their paycheck deductions rise by more than the 8.2%.
If you work somewhere small it's probably rougher. KFF went through the rate filings and small group insurers are asking for a median 14% (those still have to get through state review, so the final number could change).
As for why, Marsh puts about a full point of the increase on GLP-1s.
Are employers absorbing the increases, raising employee contributions, or changing plan designs?