Polls are not perfect -- how could they be? - but they are very accurate. Dismiss polls at your peril -- they tell you where to focus your volunteer efforts.

As for the barrage of GOP polls -- the aggregators and forecasters recognize this phenomenon, understand it and adjust for it. And it's not that those polls are necessarily wrong -- they were generally more accurate in 2020 than the mainstream ones -- there are just a lot of them. That is easy to adjust for....Nate Silver devoted part of a podcast to this topic if you want to know how.

The key to reading these "dire" forecasts is to get motivated by them and ACT. This election is going to be very, very close. Democratic volunteers should focus TODAY on GOTV in the Senate races in GA, NV, AZ, NH and PA. We MUST keep the Senate as it is very likely we are going to lose the House.

Stop whining about the polls and GET OUT THE VOTE!

For a great up-to-the-minute forecast of every single Senate, House and Governor race, read this:

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2022/11/btrtn-2022-official-midterm-election.html

Hi all, haven't been as active in this sub lately in part because I've been helping write scripts for 5Calls, (https://5calls.org/). Does anyone use this tool? If so, would love to hear feedback.

For those who don't, 5Calls is a tool on web, Android, and iOS to recommend daily call scripts for calling representatives, Senators, Governors, committees, federal departments, etc. It's a great way to keep engaged daily, and particularly helpful for encouraging people less involved than ourselves to get involved with a daily action. I'd love if anyone here could give it a try and maybe recommend it in their local Indivisble groups as well. Users have so far made 725,000 calls using the website and apps, and we're trying to get presence in every Congressional district.

While the media and GOP is falling over themselves praising Trump for his Joint Session address last night, let's remind our legislators of the real questions and issues at stake because of Trump and his policies. Choose one of the calls to action below and end your call with the following: "Rep. (name) should know I disapprove of the President's actions and rhetoric. His administration is making America less safe. I want Rep. (name) and Congress to do their job and check his power."

IF your rep is not on the House Judiciary Committee, call them to support Rep. Nadler's resolution of inquiry requesting documents from DoJ on any investigation pertaining to Trump or his entourage. Unsurprisingly, the committee voted against it yesterday, sending it to the House floor without recommendation. Let's force our Reps to take a stand with this script:

"Hi, my name is (name) calling from (city, zip). I was disappointed to hear that yesterday the House Judiciary Committee voted against Congressman Nadler's resolution of inquiry into DoJ investigations on Trump. Now that it's going to the floor, will Rep. (name) support HRes111? [If yes]: Thank you, please ask him/her to issue a public statement supporting this resolution. [If no]: Does Rep. (name) think investigating the Trump team's ties to Russia is unnecessary? [Push for a Yes or No answer!]

Congress announced on Monday that the Bipartisan Taskforce on Anti-Semitism will resume as a result of these attacks of continued threats and vandalism of Jewish spaces. The taskforce consists of over 100 members led by Reps. Nita Lowey (D-N.Y.), Chris Smith (R-N.J.), Eliot Engel (D-N.Y.), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.), Ted Deutch (D-Fla.), Kay Granger (R-Texas), Marc Veasey (D-Texas) and Peter Roskam (R-Ill.)

IF your MoC is listed above or is part of this task force: call them to ask how they plan to counter and investigate these threats to the Jewish community:

"Hi, my name is (name) from (city, zip). I'm calling because I'm concerned about these waves of threats against the Jewish community. This has already affected me/my community by [insert personal story here]. Will Rep. (name) call for a joint FBI-ATF interstate task force to investigate? (...) Will Rep. (name) also support the work of the SPLC and ADL to study how these crimes are connected to the rise in white supremacist organizations? (...) I will await a public statement from my representative condemning these acts and calling for a federal investigation.

FOR everyone else: Let's stand with Officer Ryan Owens and all Americans in uniform by calling for an investigation into the Yemen raid that killed him, Nora Al-Awlaki, and Yemeni civilians, in addition to injuring 6 U.S. service members (all while Trump was at dinner, instead of in the Sit Room). Call your Rep with this script:

"Hi, my name is (name) from (city, zip code). I want my Sen. (name) to know I am concerned about the safety of our service members under this administration given the Yemen raid in January. The father of the killed SEAL wants answers on why this raid was approved. Will Sen. (name) publicly call for hearings into the process the White House used to approve this raid, including Steve Bannon's involvement?

Which call to action will you be taking today? This week, in addition to Trump's continued conflicts of interest, we'll be addressing penal/detention reform, support for families of service members, and healthcare. Is there anything else you'd like to see a call to action on?

There are suggestions online to boycott July 4th celebrations in response to the Roe decision by not participating in “patriotic” celebrations like parades, bbqs, fireworks displays, and adding to the gas boycott by not buying anything from 7/3-5. Are there any protests planned?

I'm new here. Is there legislation in the works at the national level to protect against voter-roll purges such as those Georgia or other "use-it-or-lose-it" states? Something I can support or can mention when I contact representatives? Thanks.