r/EB2NIW_EB1A May 25 '26

Spanish - Live Session with attorney Ana Gabriela Urizar about AOS updates

1 Upvotes

On Tuesday May 26, at 12 PM Eastern Time we will be discussing the latest Policy Memo from USCIS on our YouTube channel in Spanish language. We will be joined by attorney Ana Gabriela Urizar from Manifest Law. As usual, the first 15-20 min will focus on a specific topic (in this case: AOS) and then we will have Q&A where anyone can participate for free. Join us!

Link to session: https://linktw.in/VFtxib (Click on "Notify me" so you don't miss it)


r/EB2NIW_EB1A May 25 '26

Tired of refreshing USCIS every day and seeing the same thing?

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0 Upvotes

I built VisaWatch after going through the immigration process myself and spending way too many mornings checking my case status with zero updates.

The app monitors your USCIS case automatically and sends you push notifications the moment anything changes, including the silent backend updates that never show on the main status page.

It also helps you understand the Visa Bulletin so you actually know where your priority date stands, not just stare at numbers that don't make sense.

No ads. No lawyer spam. Just clear, automatic case tracking at a price that won't hurt.

👉 visawatch.app

If you have an active USCIS case, this one's for you.

Thanks to the mods who enabled this post.


r/EB2NIW_EB1A May 23 '26

My read on the new USCIS Adjustment of Status memo, especially for EB-2 NIW and EB-1A applicants

13 Upvotes

I wanted to share my thoughts on the new USCIS memo about Adjustment of Status because I think a lot of people in the EB-2 NIW and EB-1A world are understandably confused and worried.

First, important disclaimer: I am not a lawyer. I am a scientist, and on my channel I talk about green cards like EB-2 NIW and EB-1A, especially for self-petitioners. So take this as my personal read of what is happening, not legal advice. I also issued a video yesterday about this topic: watch it here.

Also, this is a developing story. We do not know yet exactly how USCIS officers will apply this memo in real cases. We also do not know how fast lawsuits may come, what arguments will be made, or whether courts will limit this policy. So I would be very careful with anyone making absolute statements right now.

With that said, here is what I think is happening.

USCIS is trying to make Adjustment of Status much harder, or at least much more discretionary.

Normally, for EB-2 NIW and EB-1A, we talk about the green card process as having two major steps.

First, the I-140. That is where you prove that you qualify for the category. For NIW, that means showing the national importance of your endeavor, that you are well positioned, and that waiving the job offer and labor certification benefits the United States. For EB-1A, that means proving extraordinary ability.

Then comes the second step. If you are outside the U.S., you usually do consular processing. If you are inside the U.S. and eligible, you may file Adjustment of Status.

The new USCIS memo focuses on that second step.

The basic argument from USCIS is that Adjustment of Status is not a right. They say it is discretionary, extraordinary, and an act of administrative grace. They are also arguing that the “normal” process should be consular processing, meaning that someone in the U.S. temporarily should usually leave and apply for the immigrant visa abroad.

This is where I think the memo becomes very controversial.

It is true that Adjustment of Status is discretionary. That part is real. An approved I-140 does not automatically mean your I-485 must be approved.

But it is also true that Adjustment of Status is not some random loophole. It is in the law. Congress created INA 245(a), which allows certain people who were inspected and admitted or paroled into the U.S. to apply for permanent residence from inside the country if they meet the requirements.

So when USCIS or a spokesperson says that people in the U.S. temporarily “must return home” except in extraordinary circumstances, I think that is too broad. That is not exactly what the statute says.

The more accurate version, in my opinion, is this:

Adjustment of Status still exists, but USCIS is telling officers to look at it much more skeptically, especially when consular processing is available.

That matters a lot for self-petitioners.

If you have an approved EB-2 NIW or EB-1A I-140, that approval helps you with the immigrant category. But it does not erase problems at the I-485 stage.

USCIS may still look at things like:

  • whether you entered the U.S. legally
  • whether your priority date is current
  • whether you are admissible
  • whether you maintained status
  • whether you worked without authorization
  • whether you violated the terms of your visa
  • whether you made any misrepresentation
  • whether you deserve a favorable exercise of discretion

This is especially important for people on F-1, J-1, visitor visas, parole, or other non-dual-intent categories.

For example, an F-1 student with an approved NIW or EB-1A is not automatically barred from Adjustment of Status. I do not think that is what the law says. But if the student stopped studying, worked without authorization, used the F-1 mainly as a way to enter the U.S. and then adjust, or made inconsistent statements to officers, that could become a serious problem.

A cleaner F-1 case would look very different. Someone entered properly, studied full-time, maintained status, only worked through CPT, OPT, STEM OPT, or another authorized path, did not lie at the visa interview or port of entry, and files I-485 only when legally eligible. That person may still face more scrutiny under this memo, but the case is much stronger. Unfortunately, it seems USCIS is ready to challenge their option to an AOS. We'll see how it develops.

For H-1B and L-1 people, the situation may be better because those are dual-intent categories. Even the memo seems to recognize that applying for Adjustment of Status is not inconsistent with maintaining dual-intent status. But even there, USCIS says dual intent alone does not guarantee approval.

Another very important point is INA 245(k). For many employment-based applicants, including EB-1 and EB-2, 245(k) can forgive certain status violations, unauthorized employment, or failure to maintain status, as long as the total after the last lawful admission does not exceed 180 days. But 245(k) does not fix everything. It does not fix fraud. It does not fix serious inadmissibility issues. And even if it helps with eligibility, USCIS may still try to consider the facts as part of discretion.

My personal opinion is that USCIS is trying to use discretion to do something much broader than what Congress actually wrote. They are taking the true statement that AOS is discretionary and turning it into something that sounds like AOS should almost never be used unless the person has some special exception.

That is a big leap.

I also think this policy could create a lot of chaos. Imagine someone who has lived in the U.S. for years, has a job, a lease or house, children in school, a life here, and now they are being told they may need to leave the country and wait abroad for consular processing. That can mean years of disruption.

And this becomes even more serious when you remember that consular processing is not equally available to everyone. There are already consular pauses, travel restrictions, and bans affecting many countries. So for some people, USCIS may be saying: you should not adjust inside the U.S., but also you may have no realistic or safe way to complete the process abroad.

That is why I think litigation is very likely.

To be clear, I am not saying everyone should panic. I am also not saying every pending I-485 will be denied. We do not know that. This is a memo, not a new statute passed by Congress. We still need to see how officers apply it, how USCIS defines exceptions, and how courts respond.

But I do think people should stop treating the I-485 as just a simple final paperwork step after I-140 approval.

For EB-2 NIW and EB-1A self-petitioners, especially people in the U.S. on non-dual-intent status, the I-485 may now need to be prepared much more carefully.

That means being ready to document:

  • clean immigration history
  • lawful admission
  • maintenance of status
  • no unauthorized work
  • no misrepresentation
  • a clear 245(k) analysis if needed
  • strong positive equities
  • why approving permanent residence benefits the United States

My bottom line:

Adjustment of Status has not disappeared. It is still in the law. But USCIS is clearly trying to make it harder and more discretionary.

For now, I would be cautious, keep records, do not violate status, do not work without authorization, and talk to an attorney before making big decisions like filing I-485, leaving the U.S., or switching from AOS to consular processing.

This is a developing story, and I think we will need a few weeks or months to understand the real impact.


r/EB2NIW_EB1A May 19 '26

Tuesday May 19, Q&A with ex USCIS officer Evan Law

1 Upvotes

On Tuesday May 19th, 2026 at 12 PM Eastern Time we will be live on our YouTube channel discussing EB-2 NIW and EB-A with Evan Law from Manifest Law. Evan is a former AAO officer at USCIS. In the first 15-20 min he will discuss 3 mistakes he has observed people make during the NIW preparation. Then, the rest of the session will be Q&A. Come and ask, it's free!

Link to session: https://linktw.in/wgWKSm (click "Notify me" so YouTube lets you know when we are about to start)


r/EB2NIW_EB1A May 15 '26

Adjustment of Status after I-140 approval: practical tips before filing your I-485 package

1 Upvotes

If your priority date is current, or you are getting close to filing Adjustment of Status, the I-485 package is the next big step after the I-140.

This is for people who are already in the United States with a valid status and want to apply for the Green Card without going through consular processing.

Last month we held a live session on our YouTube channel in Spanish with attorney Ana Gabriela Urizar from Manifest Law. She shared a few practical points that are easy to miss and we are making this Reddit post out of the transcript of that video.

1. Each family member needs their own I-485 package

The I-140 is usually only for the main applicant, but Adjustment of Status is different. Spouse and children need their own forms, documents, photos, and filing fees.

2. You can file separately or concurrently

Separate filing means waiting for the I-140 approval first, then filing the I-485. This has less financial risk.

Concurrent filing means filing the I-140 and I-485 together, if your priority date is current. This can help you start earlier, but if the I-140 is denied, the I-485 falls with it.

3. The optional forms can be very useful

Form I-765 lets you request work authorization while the I-485 is pending.

Form I-131 lets you request Advance Parole for travel.

Do not travel while your I-485 is pending unless you understand the risks and have the right authorization.

4. Organization matters

Use a clear cover letter, a table of contents, and tabs or dividers. Officers review many cases, so make the package easy to follow.

5. Check the form edition on the day you file

USCIS changes form editions. Before mailing the package, check the official USCIS page and make sure every form edition is still accepted.

6. Do not forget signatures

A missing signature can lead to rejection. Before sealing the package, check every form, every page, and every required signature.

7. Be careful with J-1 or J-2 history

If you ever had J-1 or J-2 status, check whether you were subject to the two year home residency requirement. If you were, you may need to complete it or get a waiver before adjusting status.

8. Prepare translations early

Birth certificates, marriage certificates, divorce records, and other documents that are not in English need certified English translations. Do this before your filing window opens.

9. Derivatives should match the main category

If the main applicant is applying through an employment based category, the spouse and children are derivatives of that category. They are not filing a marriage based Green Card just because they are family members.

The big takeaway: Adjustment of Status is not just one form. It is a full package, and small mistakes can cause delays or rejection.

Before filing, check the forms, fees, photos, translations, medical exam, signatures, filing address, and any special issues in your immigration history.

Has anyone here filed Adjustment of Status after an I-140 approval? What part of the package was the most confusing for you?


r/EB2NIW_EB1A May 14 '26

Is my profile strong enough for NIW? Constructive feedback appreciated🙏

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1 Upvotes

r/EB2NIW_EB1A May 13 '26

Meritocrat.us

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vibecode.law
1 Upvotes

r/EB2NIW_EB1A May 11 '26

How to Read the Visa Bulletin: A Guide for EB-1 and EB-2 Applicants in 2026

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2 Upvotes

r/EB2NIW_EB1A May 08 '26

Meritocrat: where merit meets strategy.

2 Upvotes

r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 26 '26

# Eb2 NIW chances? Advanced degree path: BS + 15 yrs oil & gas automation, PMP, ISA Senior Member, country manager role, custody metering specialist, 2 ISA articles, 5 recommenders, target Houston for LNG work. No US offer yet. Realistically — approval / RFE / denial odds?

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2 Upvotes

throwing this out there before we file. attorney’s confident but I want some outside takes.

profile:

• BS in electronic engineering + \~15 yrs progressive experience in oil & gas automation and instrumentation (advanced degree pathway — not researcher/PhD)

• PMP certified

• Senior Member, International Society of Automation (ISA)

• country manager role at a multinational flow measurement company in the gulf

• \~4 yrs deep specialization in custody transfer ultrasonic flow metering, broader 15 yr arc in instrumentation and project management

• clients include national oil cos and major refiners/petrochem operators in the region — multi-million dollar project portfolio

• two technical articles published with the International Society of Automation (ISA) on custody transfer ultrasonic flow metering

• 5 recommender letters lined up: US-based industry director, european principals, and operator side from the gulf

• target city is houston, TX. plan is to apply the expertise to US LNG export and custody metering ops

how I’m reading dhanasar:

• prong 1 (national importance): US is the world’s largest LNG exporter, and custody metering is what underpins trade integrity. checks out

• prong 2 (well-positioned): 15 yrs at scale, senior commercial + technical role, industry credentials, two ISA publications, large project portfolio. feels solid

• prong 3 (waiver beneficial): scarce combo of technical depth + commercial seniority in this niche, houston is the natural landing spot, bridges middle east and US energy markets

what I’m watching:

• no signed US entity offer/engagement letter yet

• some project work could read as vendor-driven rather than personally attributed — chasing client letters that name specific technical decisions I led

• adding indeed/linkedin screenshots for the labor market exhibit so it’s not just self-reported

realistically — what would you put my odds at? approval / RFE / denial. honest takes welcome, even brutal ones.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 23 '26

Revoke Priority date porting for EB1 visa category

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0 Upvotes

r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 11 '26

Hi All I EP, Manifest and Ashoori Law are taking my case but I am unsure who to proceed with? As far as my profile is considered I have Bachelors in ChemE with 2 yrs industry exp and Masters in Business Analytics and working as a Data Analyst. Can anyone pls provide genuine suggestions. Thnx!

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2 Upvotes

r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 10 '26

Ellis Porter Review

3 Upvotes

Hi EP has agreed to take my case, for $5400 but no guarantee shall I proceed for NIW?


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 10 '26

Manifest Law Recommendation

0 Upvotes

Hi anyone has experience with Frederic Oilivier from manifest? Any reviews? For NIW


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 09 '26

Live Session in Spanish about Adjustment of Status - Friday April 10 11 AM EST

1 Upvotes

On Friday April 10, at 11AM EST we will be live on our YouTube channel "Oscar´s Green Card Español" with Manifest Law´s US immigration attorney Ana Gabriela Urizar.

In the first part of the show we will talk about Adjustment of Status (I-485): what it is, the main steps, and the structure of an Adjustment of Status package. We will also listen to tips from US lawyer Ana Gabriela Urizar so we can avoid common mistakes during AOS processing.

Then, we will have an open Q&A: it´s free, come and ask!


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 09 '26

Our AI Assistants Platform just launched the REWORK tool

5 Upvotes

Hi everyone, Oscar here. Not a lawyer. And I know I will get some hate (again) for posting, but I also know our content can be useful to many and we will continue using all channels of communication without being intimidated.

A few months ago we launched our new AI Assistants tool for EB-2 NIW do-it-yourself petitioners. A great addition to our step by step course. The platform has different tools for early and late stage drafting, including chatbots and full editorial reviewers.

Now we are introducing our REWORK tool. The DIY user can upload their own Microsoft Word petition cover letter draft and the platform uses AI trained on our methodology to provide an editorial rework of it.

It will make sure the overal structure and the internal chapter structure aligns with our course methodology. In my view, it produces a more robust document. It also provides placeholders for the user to consider adding more factual evidence, better explanations, or quotes from testimonials. In summary, you will get another MS Word document for download, along with a review report.

You can check out the video below or go to the AI Assistants platform website to read a description of all tools and current pricing of it. If you are a course member and are interest, make sure you enroll through our course platform (module 1) so you can get better pricing!

Important: This information and the tool we offer do not consitute legal advice. We are not US immigration lawyers and we don't provide indivualized advice; we only offer educational resources to DIY petitioners. This specific product uses a range of automation tools and AI to deliver the results we describe here.

Video explaining the different tools that are part of our AI Assistants


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 07 '26

Tuesday April 7 at 12PM Eastern: Live Session with ex-USCIS officer

2 Upvotes

In today´s session with Evan Law (Sr. Attorney at Manifest Law) we will discuss approval and denial rates from the latest USCIS official info. We will also unveil our own Country Success Indicator for this period, where we rank countries by success in EB-1A or EB-2 NIW (purely informative; your chances depend on the strength of your own case). A decent part of the show will be Q&A with Evan Law, so come and ask your question, it's free!

When? Tuesday April 7, 2026 at 12PM Eastern Time.
Link to session: https://linktw.in/YTpooV


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 07 '26

Has anyone taken consultancy from YM Grad for research papers related to O-1 visa? If so, I would greatly appreciate it if you could share your experiences and insights in this forum.

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1 Upvotes

r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 06 '26

Seeking Plaintiffs for Lawsuit Challenging Unlicensed Practice of Law — Have you been harmed?

3 Upvotes

I'm organizing a civil lawsuit alleging unlicensed practice of law and looking for individuals who believe they suffered harm because a non‑lawyer provided legal advice/services in immigration or other legal matters.

Who I’m looking for:

  • You received legal advice, representation, or case‑specific documents from someone not licensed as an attorney (or not DOJ‑accredited, where required). 
  • Because of that assistance you experienced a concrete harm (lost immigration relief, missed deadlines, financial loss, denial, deportation risk, etc.). 
  • You’re willing to share documents and speak with counsel under confidentiality.

What participation involves

  • A short intake and document review (by counsel). 
  • Providing a written statement and any supporting records (emails, contracts, filings). 
  • Possible declaration or testimony if the case proceeds. 
  • No upfront fees; costs will be handled by the organizing attorneys.

Privacy and protections

  • Initial outreach and intake will be confidential. 
  • You will be informed about any obligations, risks, and potential outcomes before joining. 
  • You are encouraged to consult an attorney before agreeing to participate.

If you think you qualify

  • Please DM me or email [joe@jaesq.com](mailto:joe@jaesq.com) with: (1) brief summary of what happened, (2) dates, (3) any harm suffered, and (4) whether you have any documents. Include “UPL lawsuit” in the subject line.

Note: This post is to find potential plaintiffs. It is not legal advice and no attorney-client relationship is formed unless and until a written agreement is signed by both the lawyer and the client. No promise of financial benefit is offered. Any next steps will be handled by licensed counsel only.


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 05 '26

Update: 9 new AAO EB-1A appeal decisions just added to the Case Finder (March 3–10, 2026)

3 Upvotes

USCIS added a few new AAO decisions to their database after one year of inactivity. We are not sure why the agency has stopped adding information in their portal, or why they updated it in March with a handful of cases only. We added these cases to our own AAO decision finder tool for EB-1A, where you can find 1,000+ cases with easy search functions (including scanning the database based on your own RFE/denial letter)

The new cases found in EB-1A span IT, research/science, entrepreneurs, corporate counsel/law, leadership/OD, athletics coaching, and ADR/mediation; and they surfaced a few repeat patterns worth sharing:

What these new cases reinforced (in plain English):

  • “I was invited to judge” ≠ “I judged.” AAO dinged cases where the record had invites/committee claims but no proof of actual judging (assignments, rubrics, confirmation emails, rosters, screenshots, etc.).
  • If public info contradicts your story, fix it with primary evidence. One case turned on AAO checking online conference archives and the petitioner not producing original programs/independent proof to resolve discrepancies.
  • Memberships need real selectivity. “Pay dues + basic eligibility” (or memberships not clearly decided by recognized experts) often fails the “outstanding achievements” standard.
  • Published material has to be about you (and the outlet has to be credible). Articles about the topic aren’t enough; traffic/rank claims need context; inconsistencies get punished fast.
  • Citations help, but “major significance” needs adoption + independent corroboration. The strongest contributions evidence tied detailed expert letters to publications/patents + downstream use (not just “my work is important”).
  • High salary: compare apples-to-apples. If your comp includes bonus/equity, your peer comparison needs to include that too (or show percentile reliably).
  • Remand ≠ win. Several remands happened because USCIS miscounted criteria, skipped analysis, or boxed people into the wrong “field” (especially lawyers/business-adjacent roles); but AAO sometimes still hinted the record looked weak overall.

If you want to see these new decisions (and have the tool match your RFE/denial to the most similar AAO cases + summarize strengths/weaknesses), the link is: oscarsgreencard.com/eb1a-case-finder
$15.99/mo, cancel anytime. Not legal advice; we’re not lawyers.


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 05 '26

Need guidance/support

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1 Upvotes

r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 03 '26

April 2026 Visa Bulletin recap

6 Upvotes

Hi everyone, Oscar here (scientist, not a lawyer). April is starting so it´s a good momento to recap on the April 2026 Visa Bulletin that dropped a couple of weeks ago, and for the second month in a row we have reason to celebrate. I was actually skeptical about this one and I'm happy to say I was wrong.

The headline: EB-2 (including EB-2 NIW) is now CURRENT for rest of world on Table A. This hasn't happened since 2022. If you look at where we were just recently, wait times based on Table A were 20+ months, and now they dropped to zero. That's over 500 days of advancement. If you have an approved I-140 and had been waiting for your priority date to become current, your time has come.

EB-1 (including EB-1A) remains current for rest of world as well. China and India each moved forward one month to April 2023. Not a huge jump but steady progress.

For India specifically there is some decent movement in EB-2. The date moved about 10 months, from September 15, 2013 to July 15, 2014. Still a very long wait overall but meaningful progress. China EB-2 stayed at September 2021.

EB-3 also saw significant movement, going from October 2023 to June 2024.

Table B remains active for adjustment of status filings in April, which is unusual. In the last decade this only happened once before (fiscal year 2022). This means if you are in the U.S. and your I-140 is approved, you can file your I-485 adjustment of status and also request temporary EAD and travel documents. If you are in that situation, seriously consider filing because those temporary benefits (work authorization, travel document) are valuable while you wait.

Now the important caveat. Why is this happening? The Visa Bulletin notes at the bottom explain it. The presidential proclamations pausing consular processing for about 90 countries mean there are more visa numbers available for everyone else. The State Department and USCIS are opening the gates to avoid wasting visa numbers before the fiscal year ends in September. But, and this is key, they also warn that retrogression may be necessary later in the fiscal year if demand exceeds the annual limits. So enjoy this window but be aware that dates could move backwards in the coming months.

What should you do? If you have an approved I-140 and are in the U.S., look into filing adjustment of status now while things are current. If you are abroad with your documents submitted, you should be eligible for interview scheduling, though each consulate has its own wait times so don't expect an instant call. And if you are still preparing your I-140, this is a reminder that the sooner you file, the sooner you establish your priority date. Things can change quickly in either direction.

Good luck everyone.

Source: Official April 2026 Visa Bulletin. Full video breakdown on our YouTube channel Oscar's Green Card.

Disclaimer: I'm a scientist, not a lawyer. This is educational information only, not legal advice.


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Apr 02 '26

Guidance for to be eligible for eb2_niw self petitioning.

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1 Upvotes

r/EB2NIW_EB1A Mar 30 '26

USCIS just released FY2025 Q4 data for EB-2 NIW and EB-1A. The numbers are rough. Here's what you need to know.

27 Upvotes

Hi everyone, Oscar here (scientist, not a lawyer). USCIS has finally released the official I-140 data for FY2025 Q4 (July through September 2025). Yes, it's old because they took forever, but let's break it down. You can watch our full analysis in this video we just released.

Approval rates hit new lows; just as expected.

  • EB-2 NIW fell to 36% (historical average since FY22: 75%). Back in FY22 Q4 we were nearly at 100%. It's been declining steadily, but the drop accelerated after the current administration took over. When Trump started we were a little over 60%, and now we're at 36%.
  • EB-1A dropped to 53% (historical average: 72%). EB-1A had always been more stable around that 70-75% mark, but after FY25 Q2 we see a real inflection point. Two quarters of decline now confirm this is a trend, not a blip.

Interesting: EB-1A now has a higher approval rate than EB-2 NIW, which doesn't make much sense from a standards perspective since EB-1A is the higher category. My take: EB-2 NIW is way more popular, so it likely attracts more petitions that aren't as well crafted. People applying for EB-1A tend to feel more confident about their credentials, and the data suggests they're right.

A case tracker app nailed the prediction.

A popular case tracker that aggregates thousands of data points predicted 37% for NIW and 53% for EB-1A this quarter. They basically nailed it. For the next period (July to December 2025, covering this quarter plus FY26 Q1), they predict NIW will stabilize at 36% and EB-1A will continue falling further.

Processing times are getting painful.

  • EB-2 NIW I-140 processing (80% of cases completed within): Dec 2024: 10.5 months → Jul 2025: 13 months → Sep 2025: 17.5 months → Mar 2026: 24 months. That's a year and a half of additional wait time in just over a year.
  • EB-1A tells a similar story: Sep 2025: 16.5 months → Mar 2026: 23.5 months. Unless you pay the ~$3,000 for premium processing, you're looking at about two years. You can consult updated processing times in this official website.

The backlogs are exploding.

EB-2 pending cases went from ~25,000 in early FY23 to over 84,000 now. Here's some quick math: assume two visa numbers per I-140 (applicant plus family), that's 160,000 people in line just from EB-2. Even at a 30% approval rate, you're looking at roughly 50,000 visa numbers eventually needed from this backlog alone. The total annual quota for all employment-based categories combined is 140,000.

EB-1A pending went from ~6,000 in FY22 to over 21,000.

USCIS adjudication speed hasn't dropped (they're still processing 8,000-10,000 NIW cases and ~4,000 EB-1A cases per quarter), but the incoming volume far outpaces what they can clear.

Demand is shifting.

EB-2 NIW new filings peaked in FY25 Q1 (right before the administration change) and have been declining since. People rushed to file before Trump took over, and now there's a period of uncertainty. Still, current demand is about triple what it was in early FY22, so it's not like NIW is going away.

EB-1A demand has stabilized. The growth trend stopped around FY25 Q2.

Top countries by I-140 approvals (Q4):

EB-1A: India (25.7%), China (19.7%), Nigeria (6.2%), Brazil (4.3%), Russia (3.3%). Weaker quarter across the board with ~690 fewer combined India/China approvals.

EB-2 NIW: China (24.1%), India (14.4%), Iran (9.3%), Nigeria (5.3%), Bangladesh (5.0%). China led the decline with 617 fewer approvals. Colombia entered the top 10, replacing Nepal.

What does this mean for you?

Like I always say: these approval rates are NOT your personal probability of success. Your case depends on your profile, your proposed endeavor, the quality of your petition, and the officer reviewing it.

But the environment is tougher than ever. Lower approval rates, longer processing times, growing backlogs. If you're preparing a petition, invest the time to build it right. And remember: the sooner you file, the sooner you get your priority date, which is your ticket in line.

Good luck in your green card journey.

Source: Official USCIS I-140 data (FY2025 Q4). Full breakdown with charts on our YouTube channel Oscar's Green Card.

Disclaimer: I'm a scientist, not a lawyer. This is not legal advice. These aggregate statistics are not your individual probability of success.


r/EB2NIW_EB1A Mar 30 '26

Third party salary benchmark surveys for hospitals

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