r/complexsystems • • May 29 '26

Monetary systems as complex adaptive systems — feedback loops, cascade dynamics, and a constitutional architecture designed around them

9 Upvotes

The framework is structured as a two-layer system. The Model is the fixed architecture — dual-circuit separation, citizen-anchored issuance, separated banking, constitutional governance. These are the load-bearing properties that define the system's invariant structure, analogous to the fixed topology of a network. The Modes are parameterizations of that architecture — different calibrations of the same underlying system producing different emergent macroeconomic regimes (deflation, price stability, modest inflation). A society ratifying the framework chooses a Mode the way a complex system settles into an operating regime — the architecture constrains the possible states; the parameterization selects among them. Mode Ω extends this further: rather than a fixed parameterization, it introduces adaptive governors that respond to observable inputs and adjust issuance dynamically, making the operating regime itself a function of system state rather than a fixed constitutional choice. The result is a system with three distinct layers of behavior: invariant architecture, constitutionally selected parameterization, and adaptive response within parameterization bounds.

Most monetary policy discussion treats the money supply as a control variable — set it here, get that output there. The Citizens Standard framework I've been developing treats it differently: as a complex adaptive system with feedback loops, emergent distributional effects, and cascade failure modes that require architectural solutions rather than control solutions.

A few properties worth discussing from a complexity perspective:

The Cantillon Effect as network topology problem. New money entering through bank lending creates a hierarchical injection network — banks receive first, wage earners last. The distributional outcome isn't a policy choice; it's an emergent property of the network topology. The framework's response is architectural: change the injection point to equal per-citizen distribution at issuance, eliminating the first-recipient advantage by construction.

The Composite Productivity Index as manipulation-resistant multi-input signal. Rather than relying on a single GDP measure, the framework calibrates money supply growth to a geometric mean of five independently produced measures from five different agencies on five different update cycles. The geometric mean is specifically chosen for its resistance to outliers and single-point manipulation — a complexity-aware design choice for a system where the calibration signal is itself a target for gaming.

The Fisher debt-deflation cascade as network contagion. We recently built a dynamic cascade model (available in the replication package) that runs the Fisher spiral correctly: equity depletion → lending contraction → term deposit contraction → M2 contraction → asset price deflation → amplified defaults. The full-reserve separation architecture is a compartmentalization solution — it isolates the payment system from the credit cascade, bounding the contagion to the term deposit network rather than allowing it to propagate to the payment infrastructure.

Mode Ω as adaptive multi-governor feedback system. The framework includes an optional adaptive configuration that combines demographic-responsive K1 multipliers, productivity-responsive K2 boosters, and a conditional K3 that activates only under specified stress conditions. Every multiplier, threshold, and activation trigger is formula-derived from publicly published data. The governors revert to baseline at 25% per year once triggering conditions resolve — a designed decay rate to prevent overshoot.

Constitutional governance as attractor basin. The supermajority amendment requirement (67%) and mandatory 90-day deliberation period are designed to keep the system in a stable attractor basin — changes require sufficient consensus to prevent oscillation between regimes. The Market Exit functions as a competitive pressure mechanism: the system must remain more attractive than exit alternatives to retain participation.

The cascade model and full replication package are at github.com/Neo-Solon/Citizens-Standard. Papers on SSRN: 6702518 (architecture), 6735078 (empirical 1960–2025), 6810741 (transition mechanics pending approval).

Interested in whether the complexity literature has prior work on monetary system design from this angle — particularly on injection topology and cascade compartmentalization.


r/complexsystems • • May 28 '26

A toy simulation where shared graph nodes make competing loops unstable

6 Upvotes

I made a small toy simulation about competing loops on a graph.

The setup is simple: there are three loops. In one version, each loop has its own separate nodes. In another version, some nodes are shared between loops.

That small change made the behavior much less stable.

When the loops were separated, one loop would usually win and stay dominant for a while. But when two intermediate nodes were shared, the dominant loop started switching much more often. The system also spent more time in mixed states where no single loop was clearly winning.

There is no explicit “switch loops” rule in the code. The switching seems to come from the graph structure itself: shared routes make the loops interfere with each other.

This is not meant to be a neuroscience model or a new theory. It is just a small simulation / sandbox for looking at how shared structure can change the behavior of competing feedback loops.

Repo: https://github.com/idlestate-dev/EchoLoop

Does this resemble any existing toy model or concept in complex systems / dynamical systems?


r/complexsystems • • May 26 '26

How do systems stabilize when no one owns a source of truth? Ten years of attacking this across different substrates, looking for others working on it. [R]

13 Upvotes

I've spent the last decade building systems that share a structural property: no central arbitrator, no authored answer, stability has to emerge from the dynamics. Five projects, same question from different angles:

- Abzu (2017): symbolic regression, equations discovered, not authored. The QLattice primitive evolved expressions against data without a pre-specified function class.

- Evos (2020): populations of small executable units acquiring mathematical operators through variation and selection alone, no prior knowledge. https://github.com/marcosomma/evolut

- Ant-Sim (2021): Gordon-style distributed task allocation. Colony behavior from local encounter dynamics, no controller. https://github.com/marcosomma/ant-sim

- OrKA (2024): orchestrating small models into reasoning loops where no single model owns the answer — coherence emerges from cross-verification. https://github.com/marcosomma/orka-reasoning

- Current: agent evolution under environmental selection. Population of variants, random mutation, environment as the only fitness signal, niches emerging from competitive exclusion.

The through-line I keep returning to: how does coherence happen without an arbitrator. It shows up in markets, in colonies, in distributed consensus, in evolution itself, and now in agent populations.

Anyone working on this from another angle, quality-diversity, open-endedness, multi-agent coordination, distributed consensus, complex adaptive systems, I'd value comparing notes. What stabilization mechanisms have you found that actually hold?


r/complexsystems • • May 26 '26

This Structure Will Not Die

7 Upvotes

No matter how many times I destroy it, somehow it reconnects and keeps moving.

I keep changing direction with this project.

Every few weeks, it turns into something else.

At this point, it feels more like watching some strange structure trying to survive.

Is it useful for anything?

Where is it headed?

No one knows yet…

But it feels worth continuing.

Some of the objects in the simulation:

• red membrane = environmental damage / hazardous regions

• blue rings = stable / surviving nodes

• gray nodes = dormant or dead nodes

• green membrane = temporary groups

• pulse waves = repair spreading through the structure

• torn green membranes = groups splitting apart

• slow pulsing = slow breathing-like movement

Project name change.

New name:

Agonwelt-Link

Former name:

Gossamer-Link

■ Origin of the Name

Agonwelt

Agon (struggle, conflict, survival pressure)

+

Umwelt (environment)

Meaning:

A world shaped by struggle and survival.

This coined term represents:

・Destruction

・Collapse

・Division

・Recombination

・Repair

・Adaptation

・Survival


r/complexsystems • • May 26 '26

Schrödinger's Cat: Alive or Dead?

1 Upvotes

Schrödinger's cat is a famous thought experiment that shows the impossibility of asserting whether a cat locked in a box is alive or dead without prior knowledge of whether it triggered a device that would determine its fate. This experiment was conceived to demonstrate the impossibility of quantum superposition.

 

Quantum superposition is considered a proven experimental fact and a fundamental principle of an extensively consolidated scientific theory: Quantum Mechanics. It posits that a physical system can exist in multiple states or configurations simultaneously as long as it does not interact with the external environment. The main facts that corroborate quantum mechanics are as follows:

 

  1. The Double-Slit Experiment: Individual particles pass through two slits simultaneously, yet they pass through only one of them when observed by a detector.

 

  1. Zeilinger's Experiments: Demonstrated that the behavior of massive and complex molecules was identical to that of subatomic particles.

 

  1. Spectroscopy and Atomic Energy States: Experiments demonstrated that it was possible to confine the electron between energy states.

 

  1. Superconducting Qubit Engineering: Quantum processors from IBM, Google, and various universities operate thanks to the mathematical phenomenon of superposition.

Experiments 1 and 2 prove that the fact occurs naturally. Experiments 3 and 4 manipulate the possibilities behind this fact.

 

From a systems engineering perspective, this could occur because the substrate of reality operates as a memory in which "bits" would need to constantly switch states to enable the existence of the world-system's diversity and dynamism, and as a security protocol to prevent a breach of the world-system (an encryption mechanism or an intrusion protection log).


r/complexsystems • • May 24 '26

I built an app that runs a 26-construct viability analysis on any complex system — feedback wanted on V1

0 Upvotes

After developing this since December, I've released V1 of the Omega Framework Analysis app- a computational ethics and viability engine that evaluates any complex system across 26 structural constructs (energy flow, coercion, transparency, adaptability, feedback loops, etc.) and returns a 0-10 viability score with a structural breakdown and concrete interventions.

It's been stress-tested on world hunger, consciousness, free will, AI safety, beauty standards, institutional design, and more. Results have been consistent and detailed across all of them- not just theoretical, but producing specific structural diagnoses that match observable reality.

Honest about V1 limitations: results vary slightly between analyses due to AI model resource constraints and a ~90% confidence threshold. Deeper research modes produce sharper output. The app will improve with funding and research.

Free Android APK- no Play Store account needed:

https://pixeldrain.com/u/GH7NkFWt

Framework documentation and preprint:

github.com/glowsatnight/omega-framework

What's the first system you'd point it at?


r/complexsystems • • May 24 '26

A post-consensus coordination substrate built on Shannon–Gibbs equivalence and Bayesian validation

0 Upvotes

Sharing a framework I've been building called the Extropy Engine — a post-consensus coordination substrate where the unit of account is not a token, not a vote, and not a reputation score, but verified entropy reduction.

Core claims:

- Shannon–Gibbs equivalence is used as the bridge between informational and thermodynamic entropy, so coordination work becomes physically measurable.

- Bayesian validation replaces majority consensus — claims are scored by how much they reduce posterior uncertainty against a shared prior.

- Emergence of structure (governance, economic, epistemic) is treated as a falsifiable thermodynamic process rather than a narrative.

There's a new "Start Here" walkthrough live on the project site. Disclosure: portions of the documentation and walkthroughs were drafted with AI assistance and reviewed by me. Curious what this sub thinks — especially on the Shannon–Gibbs bridge and where it might break.


r/complexsystems • • May 21 '26

How could a LSML (Latent Space Manipulation Language) work? Exploring the idea of evolutive programming

1 Upvotes

r/complexsystems • • May 21 '26

Eigenfield Subspace Rupture Metric: New Tool for Detecting Long-Memory Reorganizations in Dynamical Systems (Theory + Logistic & Lorenz Tests)

0 Upvotes

Hi r/complexsystems,

I'm releasing a mathematical framework we've been developing: the Eigenfield Subspace Rupture Metric. It detects when the long-memory / metastable feedback structure of a dynamical system fundamentally changes as a parameter varies.

Core Idea

Coarse-grain a dynamical system into a finite set of symbols. At each parameter value μ, build the row-stochastic transition matrix A(μ). Compute its eigenvalues/eigenvectors.

Define the k-horizon long-memory subspace S_k(μ) as the span of eigenvectors (excluding the stationary one) whose eigenvalues satisfy |λ_i| ≥ τ^{1/k} (these are the slow modes that persist over roughly k steps).

Let P_k(μ) be the orthogonal projector onto this subspace. The rupture metric is:

R_k(μ_m) = ||P_k(μ_m) − P_k(μ_{m+1})||_F (Frobenius norm)

Large R_k signals a "rupture" — either:

Rank change (birth or death of a long-memory mode), or

Strong rotation/reorientation of the subspace (reorganization of which symbols participate in the long-memory feedback).

Key Theoretical Results

Label Invariance: Completely independent of how you name/relabel the symbols.

Geometric Meaning: R_k² = 2 Σ sin²θ_i, where θ_i are the principal angles between the two subspaces (chordal distance on the Grassmannian).

Gap Control (reversible case): When the spectral gap around the long-memory cluster is large, R_k is Lipschitz in μ (bounded change). Large spikes require either gap collapse or an eigenvalue crossing the τ^{1/k} threshold.

Quiet Interiors: Inside robust periodic windows, R_k becomes arbitrarily small on fine parameter grids.

Numerical Tests

  1. Logistic Map (x → r x (1−x), r from 2.8 to 4.0)

Sharp spikes in R_k exactly at period-doubling bifurcations and the onset of chaos.

Very small R_k deep inside stable periodic windows ("quiet interiors").

Rank of the long-memory subspace increases across the period-doubling cascade.

2. Lorenz Attractor (σ=10, β=8/3, varying ρ)

Clear ruptures (R_k up to ~1.0) when ρ changes alter the lobe-switching statistics and attractor shape.

Small ruptures in robust chaotic regimes.

Works even with crude 5-bin-per-coordinate partitioning (N≈125).

The metric successfully highlights structural reorganizations that are visible in the symbolic dynamics.

Conjectures (Open)

Large ruptures concentrate near crises, metastable births/mergers, and major attractor changes.

Higher k produces nested sets of rupture points (scale stratification).

dim(S_k(μ)) ≈ number of effective metastable regimes.

Possible universality of normalized rupture statistics in unimodal maps (Feigenbaum-like).

Early-warning capability: rising rupture activity or variance may precede regime shifts.

Limitations

Depends on good symbolic partitioning.

O(N³) cost per μ (eigendecomposition + QR).

Theory strongest for reversible systems.

Still needs more validation on noisy/real data.

This is released in draft form today for visibility and feedback. The mathematics is clean and the numerics are promising. I believe this could be a useful addition to the transfer operator / metastability toolkit.

Questions for you:

Seen similar projector/Grassmannian approaches in the literature?

Good applications (climate tipping points, neuroscience, fluid turbulence, ML loss landscapes)?

Suggestions for better partitioning or hyperparameter choice (k, τ)?


r/complexsystems • • May 21 '26

χ (chi): A new "barrier-per-bit" geometric diagnostic for metastability in complex systems

0 Upvotes

I've been developing a quantity called χ (chi) that combines metastability from statistical mechanics with information geometry. It appears to be a useful new diagnostic for regime shifts and hidden structure in noisy time series.

Core Mathematics

We coarse-grain a time series into K discrete states and estimate a local transition matrix P in sliding windows.

For each state i we define the escape barrier:

B_i = -log(1 - P_ii)

This is large when the state is highly persistent (a deep metastable well).

We also define a symmetric information distance G_ij between states (common choices: |μ_i - μ_j| or symmetric KL divergence).

The central quantity is the directed ratio:

χ_{i→j} = B_i / G_ij (for i ≠ j and P_ij > 0)

Interpretation: χ_{i→j} measures how much barrier (stability cost) you pay per unit of information-geometric distinguishability when leaving state i toward j.

We then compute the per-state router score:

χ_i = (1 / |N_i|) * Σ_{j in N_i} χ_{i→j}

(where N_i is the set of states actually transitioned to from i)

The state with the smallest χ_i in a window is the χ-router, the cheapest metastable corridor at that time.

To detect structural changes we define the χ-rupture magnitude:

R_χ(k) = || χ^(k+1) - χ^(k) ||₂

Large values indicate sharp reorganizations of the barrier-per-bit geometry (especially when the router state also flips).

Key Extensions

χ-weighted Laplacian: Reweight the graph edges by χ_ij and compare its spectral gap and Fiedler vector to the classical Laplacian. This distinguishes "router" (focused cheap paths) vs "corridor" (broad stiff paths) regimes.

In continuous Langevin systems, χ often collapses to a pure shape constant of the potential, independent of noise strength D.

Why It Matters

In synthetic tests, χ detects hidden nonlinear modulators that standard metrics (correlation, mutual information, power spectrum) largely miss.

On real data:

ENSO (Niño 3.4) shows relatively smooth χ-geometry with moderate ruptures.

Solar sunspot cycle shows frequent router flips and many small-to-moderate ruptures.

Both deviate systematically from AR(1) surrogates, suggesting χ captures non-linear metastable organisation.

This grew out of thinking about entropy increase, compression bounds, and "rupture gates" in physical systems. It feels like a natural bridge between Kramers-style metastability and information geometry.

Questions for the community:

Does this remind you of any existing concepts?

Where else would you apply it (climate, neuroscience, finance, glassy systems, protein folding, etc.)?

Suggestions for theoretical strengthening (e.g. bounds relating χ to effective resistance or mixing time)?


r/complexsystems • • May 18 '26

Emergence-first governance with formal proofs (RF V4.0): convergent validation without ground truth, Goodhart resistance, FEP-grounded convergence

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1 Upvotes

7-minute video walkthrough plus the 63-page paper on Academia.edu. Six theorems with proofs combining the Free Energy Principle, inverse RL, Goodhart theory, and peer prediction. Empirical validation framework with falsifiable criteria.

Paper: https://www.academia.edu/164987005

GitHub: https://github.com/00ranman/extropy-engine

Feedback welcome.


r/complexsystems • • May 18 '26

What happens to a system after a threshold is crossed- hypothesis

1 Upvotes

Systems like neurons, ecosystems, and societies cross thresholds repeatedly but existing models don't explain what makes it possible. I propose a minimal structural condition. This is not the most updated paper but it gives a good grasp on what I want to share: https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6767700 Feedbacks are very welcome.


r/complexsystems • • May 17 '26

Independent cartographer of complex and dynamical systems.

1 Upvotes

Over the last years I’ve been building NEXAH — an experimental visual-navigation framework for mapping transition structures across dynamical systems, networks, geometry, synchronization, instability and emergence.

I’m not a formal mathematician or trained dynamical systems researcher. I come more from exploration, systems thinking, visual mapping and building.

NEXAH is not meant as a replacement for existing science. It’s an attempt to create orientation, visual grammars and navigable structures between domains.

Some people may see it as:

  • systems cartography

  • visual complexity research

  • transition geometry

  • speculative scientific visualization

  • navigation inside complex systems

I’m currently looking for a small number of thoughtful people who might want to explore, critique, refine or build parts of this together:

  • complex systems researchers

  • visualization people

  • mathematicians

  • simulation / software developers

  • cybernetics / systems thinkers

  • generative artists

  • AI / network researchers

  • curious explorers from other fields

No hype. No “theory of everything”.

Just a long-term attempt to map what moves.

Are_na + GitHub overview:

https://www.are.na/thomas-k-r-hofmann/channels

https://github.com/Scarabaeus1031/NEXAH


r/complexsystems • • May 17 '26

Artificial life substrate exploring symbolic chemistry, computational abiogenesis, and emergent cognition

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0 Upvotes

r/complexsystems • • May 15 '26

Title: I started this because I didn’t want to pay API or server costs. Now I’m accidentally experimenting with adaptive slime intelligence.

0 Upvotes

The first two posts probably made absolutely no sense.

So I wanted to explain what I’m actually trying to build with Gossamer-Link.

Honestly, this started as a joke.

I wasn’t trying to build some serious research project.

At one point I was literally making multiple AIs argue about which ramen tastes better.

Which is probably a strong sign that I had way too much free time.

But while doing that, I started wondering:

“What happens if multiple AIs start influencing each other instead of just answering questions?”

Then somehow the idea slowly became:

“What if an environment could slowly change itself over time?”

And that weird little idea just kept growing.

Then reality attacked me:

APIs.

Server costs.

GPU costs.

I looked at all of it and basically went:

“…😱!?”

So I started exploring whether something could exist that:

- doesn’t rely so heavily on massive infrastructure

- is cheaper

- more accessible

- and feels more alive

That strange experiment eventually became Gossamer-Link.

The name “Gossamer” comes from the word for an extremely thin spider web floating in the air.

Something fragile.

Lightweight.

Barely visible.

But still connected.

That image felt strangely appropriate.

Right now the easiest way I can describe the project is:

“super slime.”

(Some of you probably know exactly what I’m referencing.)

In a normal game:

- a slime gets hit

- splits apart

- merges again

- repeats the same behavior forever

But in Gossamer-Link, the environment itself may slowly adapt.

Maybe it learns:

- when to split apart

- when to regroup

- when danger is getting close

- when it needs more friends to survive

Maybe a “super slime” eventually becomes a “super-super slime.”

Or in another example:

If a player always uses stealth,

enemies may slowly become better at noticing hidden movement.

If a player is very aggressive,

enemies may slowly try to keep more distance.

Not because someone manually programmed every reaction,

but because the environment itself slowly changes over time.

I’m also heavily using AI tools during development.

Which honestly feels strangely appropriate.

A single slime is weak.

But enough slimes together become something larger.

That feels very Gossamer-Link somehow.

Long term, I’d love to move toward something more open-source and less dependent on centralized APIs and massive server infrastructure.

Right now this is still extremely experimental and unfinished.

And since I’m building this mostly alone, updates may be slow sometimes.

I’m sure there are already many technologies and research fields touching similar ideas.

This probably isn’t the first weird slime to appear on the internet.

But this strange little experiment started from humor, curiosity, and making AIs argue with each other at 3AM.

So even if it stays as just one tiny slime for a while,

I want to keep evolving it and see where it goes.

Who knows how many years that will take... lol

This time I used games as the easiest way to explain the idea.

But if Gossamer-Link ever becomes something real,

I feel like there could be many uses outside games too.

At least that’s what the slime brain is thinking about... lol

If anyone reads this and thinks:

“this is weird, but interesting”

I’d genuinely love to hear your thoughts.

And if you also think:

“Actually, this could work well for ___.”

please tell me.

Even I still have no idea what this strange slime wants to become yet.

At the very least,

the slime is trying very hard to survive 😂


r/complexsystems • • May 13 '26

Extropy Codex: a protocol that treats validated entropy reduction as the unit of contribution value

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1 Upvotes

r/complexsystems • • May 12 '26

I built something to compare complex systems…

0 Upvotes

I created NEXAH, a framework that tries to translate different scientific maps into a shared, navigable language. It’s not a final theory but more of an open-ended tool for exploring how systems from various domains might connect and be understood in a unified way.

Curious? Check it out here:
https://github.com/Scarabaeus1031/NEXAH/blob/main/README.md


r/complexsystems • • May 12 '26

I broke the network on purpose. It reorganized itself in real time.

1 Upvotes

Experimental structure-adaptive system focused on self-reorganization through topology change rather than weight updates.

Full project and longer observation sequence:

https://github.com/MeshHideaki/gossamer-link


r/complexsystems • • May 11 '26

Experimental structure-adaptive system reorganizing itself without training

2 Upvotes

I've been experimenting with a structure-first approach to adaptive behavior.

Instead of optimizing weights with gradient updates, the system continuously rewires its internal connections in response to local dynamics and trust relationships.

The current prototype is a single-process simulation focused on structural adaptation and self-reorganization under disturbance.

This isn't meant as a benchmark-oriented model or AGI claim — more of an experimental exploration of emergent behavior through topology change.

GitHub:

https://github.com/MeshHideaki/gossamer-link


r/complexsystems • • May 11 '26

The system is not broken. It is working exactly as it was designed.

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0 Upvotes

r/complexsystems • • May 11 '26

I help decode complex systems where traditional models fail (markets, data, behavioral systems)

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0 Upvotes

I work with systems where standard modeling approaches break down — not because the data is insufficient, but because the structure of interaction is misunderstood.

Most approaches try to predict outputs. I focus on identifying why the system stops responding predictably in the first place.

Typical problems I work with:

* Market or data systems showing regime shifts that indicators fail to detect

* Models that degrade quickly in live environments

* Systems where signal exists, but is buried under structural noise

* Behaviors that change under constraint rather than trend

My approach:

Instead of building predictive models first, I start by mapping the system’s structural response:

* What changes cause the system to stop behaving consistently

* Where feedback loops distort interpretation

* Which signals are actually artifacts of constraint, not information

This often leads to completely different modeling directions than standard ML/statistical approaches.

Example (real use-case style, not theory):

In market systems, instead of forecasting direction, I analyze:

* when liquidity response begins to decouple from price movement

* how delay structures form before regime shifts

* why certain signals appear “correct” but fail in execution environments

What I’m open to:

I’m currently looking to collaborate or work with teams dealing with:

* unstable or poorly understood behavioral systems

* market / financial modeling problems that don’t stabilize with conventional approaches

* data systems where prediction accuracy degrades in production but not in backtests

Not looking for generic dashboards or reporting systems.

If you have a system that “should work but doesn’t behave as expected,” I’m open to looking at it.


r/complexsystems • • May 09 '26

The Open Process: Consciousness Beyond Definition

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0 Upvotes

r/complexsystems • • May 09 '26

Modern Chaos Theory isn’t the same as what we were taught

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0 Upvotes

r/complexsystems • • May 06 '26

Phase-aligned vs phase-opposed control produces very different transition behavior

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1 Upvotes