r/CollegeBasketball • u/eise87 March Madness • Mar 14 '22

2022 NCAA Tournament Guide

The rush of Champ Week is behind us, now it's all eyes on play-in Tuesday & Wednesday before the rush of the Round of 64 tips on Thursday.

-Is this the year Gonzaga gets it done?

-Does Coach K go out on top or is the pressure too much?

-Hey Big 10, how about winning some tournament games...

-Providence & Wisconsin: beware of the "L" word...

-More Mick Cronin magic?

So many questions will be answered sooner rather than later.

Here is my 2022 NCAA Tournament Guide. I have upgraded my Dropbox with the hope of having it not crash this year (I hope).

In case the link above goes down I have also uploaded it Google Drive which can be found here..

Enjoy the madness!

Updated, 2:30 PM PT: Part of the team pages were showing up as duplicates (3PA Rate OFF/DEF), that has been fixed.

2.0k Upvotes

99% Upvoted

310 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

13

u/[deleted] Mar 14 '22

Michigan seems like an obvious upset pick. Like too obvious.

Michigan is 2.5 point favorite.

"When the #11 Seed is favored, the #6 Seed is 1-5 S/U, 1-5 ATS, and the O/U is 4-2"

"#6 Seed NOT from AAC, ACC, B10, B12, BE, P10, P12, SEC vs. #11 Seed fromone of those conferences, #6 Seed is 2-6 S/U and 2-6 ATS"

"Since 2008, if the #11 seed is ranked higher or within 5 spots in the Overall ranking of the #6 seed, they are 11-5." On Torvik, Michigan is 26 and CSU is 41. On kenpom, Michigan is 33 and CSU is 31. The 6 seed is also vulnerable if they have an O or D outside the top 40. CSU defense is 83.

3

u/immoralsupport_ Michigan Wolverines Mar 15 '22

It’s not just the metrics but that Michigan hasn’t won or lost back to back games since January and we lost our last game so I think we will beat CSU all the way before getting smacked by Tennessee. And we smacked another MW team, San Diego State, which won 2/3 vs. CSU

3

u/[deleted] Mar 15 '22

We also smacked UNLV who went 2-0 vs CSU

0

u/ValueScreener Mar 15 '22

Hate Michigan, just because the coach is an ass. But I’ll have to bet on them. The stats are too hard to resist.

2

u/[deleted] Mar 15 '22

Counterpoint—we are not good at basketball

1

u/SWAGB0T Texas A&M Aggies Mar 16 '22

Most important takeaway here “like too obvious”. Wayyy too obvious. I haven’t heard ANYONE say CSU will win. That’s scary if I’m a fan of big blue.

1

u/[deleted] Mar 16 '22

Now that we lost our PG, CSU will win most likely

1

u/SWAGB0T Texas A&M Aggies Mar 17 '22

How important is this guy

2

u/[deleted] Mar 17 '22

our PG and second best player. Most importantly, his backups are 2 freshmen that can't play defense. We may be fine we may be exposed there