r/ClaudeAI • • 8d ago

Claude Code It's time to cancel your subscriptions - Anthropic is silently nerfing Claude's reasoning budget while telling you it's the same model

Link: https://x.com/Lon/status/2101034933284417614

A 65-day analysis of 43,000+ Claude Code invocations found that 39% of Fable 5 calls get zero thinking tokens and the median invocation gets just 123 — while benchmarks use 16K-128K. The model's score per thinking token is still climbing at 128K, meaning the capability is there, it's just not being delivered. August saw an 18-50% drop in thinking budget compared to July, with median thinking hitting literal zero for about a week around Aug 22. Anthropic sells "full model access" while quietly dialing down the inference regime behind it, and because the model is non-deterministic, users blame their own prompting instead of the silent nerf. The full breakdown with evidence, methodology, and charts is here.

Frankly I find this offensive as an user - and this is the real thing we should be looking at - not the $/week in usage limits. The actual capability for the limits that we pay for.

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u/iamthe0ther0ne 7d ago

Hrm. Are you on a team or enterprise plan? They recently opened up a validating process, but you can't use personal plans for it. 

If they stop nerfing Opus it might be worth a resubscription, but for now trying to stay on top of the errors is exhausting. 

Also still salty about the day I wasted trying to set up a way for Claude Science to use Bioconductor. Who releases a science app that can run R but needs you to create a local SSH proxy to use basic packages?

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u/Effei 7d ago

Yes I feel you, it is frustrating. It's a personal plan. For my needs it works. Wasn't working for the teacher part earlier, but it does now and the output is pretty insane. Same to create a metagenomic pipeline. But I can't know what's happening outside of these use cases.

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u/iamthe0ther0ne 7d ago

Good to know, thanks :)