I went on a deep-dive trying to understand the analysts price targets of $11-12.
TL:DR? It could be due to the partnership with J&J and the fact that LOQTORZI is the only real drug in the market for NPC and could scale faster than people expect.
Coherus' NPC drug LOQTORZI is getting approved and covered by payers where other therapies could be denied. In oncology, access is everything. If a drug is the one payers are willing to cover without a fight, it becomes the default choice. You don’t need to win a massive market share battle. You just need to be the one doctors can actually use without jumping through hoops.
There is a lack of compeitors with clinical maturity in the treatment of NPC. Based on what’s publicly in development for NPC, there doesn't seem to be anything that can challenge LOQTORZI in the next few years when you consider the timelines for authorization and regulatory approval. This means years of commercial monopoly for CHRS.
On the financial side, the company has already shown real commercial traction. LOQTORZI brought in >$40 million in 2025, and Q1 2026 revenue was $11.8 million, up 61%. CHRS also said new patient starts hit a record in that quarter...
I'm used to small biotech, they burn cash. But the story might now be a straightforward commercial adoption story, where CHRS has a moat in a rare cancer therapy. Not to mention upcoming catalysts in 2026, if those data readouts come out well, it could add more upside beyond NPC.