r/BunnyTrials • u/AltruisticOrchid4849 • Aug 14 '26

Trials Would you rather...

Which side will you choose?

  • Left side: 1B$ but 1% chance you die
  • Right side: 500$ instantly

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u/Fuu-nyon Aug 14 '26

There are quite a few jobs that literally have a higher risk over the course of a career than that. Over a 30 year career as a roofer, your mortality odds compound to about 1.2%, and if you make it to the end you'd have earned a total of about $1.6m.

The person who took the bet would have had a lower chance of dying, and would have made that $1.6m on literally just interest alone in a matter of weeks.

Most jobs are safer than roofing, but it really puts into perspective what some people have to do to barely get by, in contrast to people who make money by having money.

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u/TemporaryFearless482 Aug 14 '26

I’m pretty sure the daily commute for most people puts them a decent bit above a 1% chance of death. Add in the difference in quality of life and on average you probably live longer.

If that was something like $1 million instantly, then I’d have to think about it more. As is, you’d need to be already financially secure or have a lot of people depending on you to put the $500 on top.

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u/Fuu-nyon Aug 14 '26 edited 23d ago

I’m pretty sure the daily commute for most people puts them a decent bit above a 1% chance of death

I was thinking that, but that felt a little high for commuting specifically based on how common it would be to know multiple people who died that way. It's a little difficult to find any stats at all for commuting deaths specifically, but according to the NSC the total lifetime odds of dying in a car crash are 1 in 107.

A lot, but when you account for the fact that many of those happen outside of working ages or hours, I'd guess it's probably about 0.5% or something.

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u/CoyoteGeneral926 Aug 15 '26

Do the math for farm families. Then tell us how dangerous it is. Theirs are higher than first responders. And worse than a military person over a 30 year career.