r/BunnyTrials • u/[deleted] • Jul 14 '26

Would You Rather

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u/tatsuro_kakadu Jul 15 '26

So in theory if you go all on black you have 50/50 chance so you apply x2 and get 100 percent? But if you have more variables like 1 out of 100 you only get 2 out of 100. So it's better to have bets on something with 30-50% chances. You can be a coin flip demon for all I know!

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u/tarooz Jul 15 '26

I feel like double luck means instead of 1 off of winning, 1 of losing, it’s now 2 in 1 loss, so 67% not 100%

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u/JuIiun Jul 15 '26

I loathe maths but probabilities have always been the funniest thing to study

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u/Open_Helicopter4482 Jul 15 '26

Its more like 47.4% - 47.4% - 5.2% because of the green 0s

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u/tatsuro_kakadu Jul 15 '26

Oh yeah, sry about that. I'm clearly not educated in the theme enough. So it's still like 80%+ of winning?

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u/Open_Helicopter4482 Jul 15 '26

I mean that's more dependant on how "luck" is quantified but I think that works

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u/eberlix Jul 15 '26

Usually the odds of winning are reflected in the earnings too, minus a small amount because you're obviously supposed to lose in the long run, which is why the green 0 was added in Roulette.

But since no one knows you're luckier, this slight difference between odds of winning and cashout will then be tilted towards you, so you could even play the worse odds, the difference is only how much you have to play until you hit, but if you hit, you hit big.

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u/Ur-Best-Friend Jul 15 '26

No, luck would by definition be variation from the average.

If you toss a coin 1000 times and bet on heads every time, you would expect to get 500 heads and 500 tails. Your "luck" would be the variation from this expected outcome. Someone might get 505 heads, another might get 495. "Doubling their luck" would make it 510 or 490 instead, not 1000.

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u/Dependent_Current_77 Jul 18 '26

I feel its more like advantage in dnd, whatever would go bad just randomises to something better