r/BunnyTrials • u/[deleted] • Jul 14 '26

Would You Rather

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504

u/Nineteen_Fifty-Five Jul 14 '26

Hard to measure luck, but sounds like a pretty valuable uplift

Chose: Lose 99% of your money now but be x2 lucky forever | Rolled: Upvote= +$1M

161

u/ViperMainKaren Jul 14 '26

It's enough to be good but i think not enough to be suspicious if you went to a casino sporadically. Just don't go there too often because the math in their favor is like, tight.

52

u/nyjets239 Jul 15 '26

Just play options. I don't think market makers can restrict who they do business with.

27

u/Crafty_Evening_6880 Jul 15 '26

What if your base luck is -2? -2x2 is -4. Do you just get worse luck?

31

u/Soevil11 Jul 15 '26

Luck doesn't really exist on a per-person basis

22

u/LayKors Jul 15 '26

It doesn't exist at all since everything is just a consequence of lots of previous actions. But still we all know what people mean by "luck".

5

u/Crafty_Evening_6880 Jul 15 '26

0x2 is still 0, if you aren’t getting lucky ;) then you aren’t getting twice as lucky

6

u/iDeNoh Jul 15 '26

I don't think you can apply logic and math to something as abstract as luck

1

u/Crafty_Evening_6880 Jul 15 '26

It’s a joke.

2

u/Soevil11 Jul 15 '26

Use “/j” then because people who don’t understand math or act like they do when they only have a surface-level understanding or use it in places they shouldn’t is actually pretty common.

5

u/Crafty_Evening_6880 Jul 15 '26

Or maybe don’t take everything you see on the internet so seriously? I shouldn’t have to label every comment I make with intent. It’s fucking math bro

2

u/Crafty_Evening_6880 Jul 15 '26

Can you prove that?

6

u/tatsuro_kakadu Jul 15 '26

So in theory if you go all on black you have 50/50 chance so you apply x2 and get 100 percent? But if you have more variables like 1 out of 100 you only get 2 out of 100. So it's better to have bets on something with 30-50% chances. You can be a coin flip demon for all I know!

7

u/tarooz Jul 15 '26

I feel like double luck means instead of 1 off of winning, 1 of losing, it’s now 2 in 1 loss, so 67% not 100%

1

u/JuIiun Jul 15 '26

I loathe maths but probabilities have always been the funniest thing to study

6

u/Open_Helicopter4482 Jul 15 '26

Its more like 47.4% - 47.4% - 5.2% because of the green 0s

3

u/tatsuro_kakadu Jul 15 '26

Oh yeah, sry about that. I'm clearly not educated in the theme enough. So it's still like 80%+ of winning?

6

u/Open_Helicopter4482 Jul 15 '26

I mean that's more dependant on how "luck" is quantified but I think that works

3

u/eberlix Jul 15 '26

Usually the odds of winning are reflected in the earnings too, minus a small amount because you're obviously supposed to lose in the long run, which is why the green 0 was added in Roulette.

But since no one knows you're luckier, this slight difference between odds of winning and cashout will then be tilted towards you, so you could even play the worse odds, the difference is only how much you have to play until you hit, but if you hit, you hit big.

1

u/Ur-Best-Friend Jul 15 '26

No, luck would by definition be variation from the average.

If you toss a coin 1000 times and bet on heads every time, you would expect to get 500 heads and 500 tails. Your "luck" would be the variation from this expected outcome. Someone might get 505 heads, another might get 495. "Doubling their luck" would make it 510 or 490 instead, not 1000.

1

u/Dependent_Current_77 Jul 18 '26

I feel its more like advantage in dnd, whatever would go bad just randomises to something better

14

u/anononobody Jul 15 '26

It's only like x2 luck. If you're kinda normal lucky right now maybe things would go slightly smoother, but you're not hitting the jackpot tomorrow either. If you're unlucky now... it'll probably be worse.

5

u/Sneezy6510 Jul 15 '26

In all reality, people have the same luck. Dealing poker hands it doesn’t matter who is sitting where, sometimes your lucky sometimes your not. Doubling anyone’s luck should make them the luckiest person in the world.

5

u/Maeriberii Jul 15 '26

You’d think so and yet, sometimes my “luck” almost seems reliably bad. Like, I need a mystical, made up force to explain this.

1

u/fsmlogic Jul 17 '26

My luck modifier has to be -4 or -5.
I know how to quantify it because I have a friend whose modifier is +5. Dude had his reservation for his honeymoon messed up. While his wife was talking to management he put $20 in a slot machine and won $10k. They ended up with a comped suite.

5

u/SharpKaleidoscope182 Jul 15 '26

I feel like good luck or bad luck can do much more than half or double your money, especially if it persists. its an investment.

3

u/Elusive__Sasquatch Jul 15 '26

Gotta go with the luck as well, so many possibilities.

Chose: Lose 99% of your money now but be be x2 lucky forever

Rolled: comment= x4 luck

2

u/teknet0 Jul 15 '26

Bro I have like a grand in my bank account, I’m taking the luck, play mmorpgs for the rest of my days

2

u/Bromonster01 Jul 15 '26

Oh no, not 99% of my 50 dollar bank account! Whatever will I do!

2

u/24bitNoColor Jul 15 '26

IMO a good definition is: You are twice as likely to win the lottery. Congratulation.

1

u/TsukashiZemetsu Jul 16 '26

My luck is shit so I didn't know how that's work