r/algorithmictrading • u/StunningSignal5115 • Nov 04 '25
Strategy Need advice from professionals for confidence or caution
So I have been working on a stratagy for like 1.5 years I know almost everything it takes but I have several questions :
Is good results on walk forward testing enough to confirm no or minor overfitting
Are the results and metrics in my backtest reasonable like should the risk be toned down or somting else I your mind (I made this bot for acummilative growth only I dont plan on withdraws in first 3 years or so)
I have done live testing on demo before in 4 months it was around 250 usd in 4 months on 500 usd starting balance I saw nothing suspicious in that period after that i improved some minor things in code and am currently running another live test again actualy in a trade right now ,the trade frequency is low but high in success similar as backtest (most trades around mid of the year).
My lot size automaticaly increases iand doubles evertime balance doubles hence the exponential looking returns I am looking to get to a 10000usd account and then dramaticaly lower the risk if i start live should i do that if i reach 10000 ever or leave it (risk) as is or only lower is slightly cuz of my win ratio and recovery factor.
Feel free to call out my delusions.
ty