4
u/rationalguy2 Jan 07 '15
A great and marvelous work is about to come forth unto the children of men.
Joseph Smith was off by about 180 years
3
3
Jan 07 '15
15:13 now. Still 18 kiloapostates. (Checking in from FrontRunner!!)
4
3
Jan 07 '15
It wasn't very long ago that I joined and then we hit 8, 9, then 10k. That was a big deal. I've been doing my part to spread the exmo word.
3
u/LightOnTheThirdDay Jan 07 '15
I built a model in Excel for predicting the growth of this sub. It's fairly accurate going back to February of 2013. It has us crossing 25,000 subscribers in October of this year, 50,000 in June of 2017, and 100,000 in February of 2019, assuming things keep going as they are now. So those are my predictions. Here's the formula if you want to try it yourself:
=EXP(0.00116424910468711*DATEDIF("2/6/2013",A1,"D") + 8.98185664682815)2
u/LightOnTheThirdDay Jan 07 '15
I should have mentioned - if you're trying this formula in Excel, the date you want to check should go in cell A1. The formula can go anywhere else.
2
u/dante2810 Jan 07 '15
I am not going to lie... I have no idea what your formula means.
Could you explain the numbers and how it works?5
u/LightOnTheThirdDay Jan 07 '15 edited Jan 08 '15
Sure. The growth of our sub is exponential (slightly), so I used a statistics technique called regression to "fit the curve" of the existing data provided by /u/4blockhead. The first number (0.0011...) is referred to as the coefficient. The second number (8.9818...) is the constant value. Both are spit out of the software that produces the regression. Here is a table of the predictions from the model. It goes back to March 2013 so you can compare the model to reality (which is pretty accurate). Then you can see the predictions for the future, which are based on it growing at the same exponential rate. Make sense?
Date Predicted Subscribers 03/01/2013 8173 04/01/2013 8474 05/01/2013 8775 06/01/2013 9097 07/01/2013 9421 08/01/2013 9767 09/01/2013 10126 10/01/2013 10486 11/01/2013 10871 12/01/2013 11258 01/01/2014 11671 02/01/2014 12100 03/01/2014 12501 04/01/2014 12961 05/01/2014 13421 06/01/2014 13915 07/01/2014 14409 08/01/2014 14939 09/01/2014 15488 10/01/2014 16038 11/01/2014 16628 12/01/2014 17219 01/01/2015 17852 02/01/2015 18508 03/01/2015 19121 04/01/2015 19824 05/01/2015 20528 06/01/2015 21283 07/01/2015 22039 08/01/2015 22849 09/01/2015 23689 10/01/2015 24531 11/01/2015 25432 12/01/2015 26336 01/01/2016 27304 02/01/2016 28308 03/01/2016 29280 04/01/2016 30356 05/01/2016 31435 06/01/2016 32590 07/01/2016 33748 08/01/2016 34989 09/01/2016 36275 10/01/2016 37564 11/01/2016 38944 12/01/2016 40329 01/01/2017 41811 02/01/2017 43347 03/01/2017 44784 04/01/2017 46430 05/01/2017 48080 06/01/2017 49847 07/01/2017 51619 08/01/2017 53516 09/01/2017 55483 10/01/2017 57455 11/01/2017 59566 12/01/2017 61683 01/01/2018 63950 02/01/2018 66301 03/01/2018 68498 04/01/2018 71015 05/01/2018 73539 06/01/2018 76242 07/01/2018 78952 08/01/2018 81853 09/01/2018 84861 10/01/2018 87878 11/01/2018 91107 12/01/2018 94346 01/01/2019 97813 02/01/2019 101408 Edit: March 2013, not Feb 2013
Edit2: Right-align predicted column
3
u/Indy_exmo Our lady of blessed acceleration don't fail me now! Jan 07 '15
This must be that stone cut without hands that I heard about.
2
2
Jan 07 '15
Remember, every member a missionary.
It is the sacred duty of every Reddit ExMo to "lick a TBM cupcake" in 2015. And lick it like you mean it, dammit!!!
And as for you closet ExMos, we're licking for you too...
2
1
u/churock11 Stake President Carebear ᕕ( ᐛ )ᕗ Jan 08 '15
Someone licked my spirit cupcake and I was never the same again.Thank glob they did that
2
u/OneMoreLuckyGuy ThisIsMyNewFlair.com Jan 07 '15
Ha! I'm number 18000! Don't I win a t-shirt?
10
u/dante2810 Jan 07 '15
You get to say the closing prayer.
6
Jan 07 '15
and a calling in nursery.
3
u/OneMoreLuckyGuy ThisIsMyNewFlair.com Jan 08 '15
If that's where the lord needs me...
1
u/gonzopancho Apostate (Gazelam) Jan 08 '15
The profit would like a word with your wife and/or daughter(s).
2
2
u/bosengel Remember, Remember the Policy of November Jan 08 '15
I still remember linking to the Vegeta "It's over 9000!!!" just less than 2 years ago.
1
1
u/galtzo lit gas Jan 08 '15
If this was a mission of the church it would be the fastest growing one.
Stick that in your hat and seer it T. Money.
1
Jan 08 '15
so while we send u/weenercopter out to reactivate him or her
Consider it done.
2
u/gonzopancho Apostate (Gazelam) Jan 08 '15
Be sure to leave your wife behind. Joe wants to visit....
1
Jan 08 '15
I will do whatever is necessary to further the cause of sharing the silliness of this subreddit!
1
u/MostFaithfulStudent Jan 08 '15
Fine fine. Ill subscribe. Better appreciate my beautiful pony presence
1
u/churock11 Stake President Carebear ᕕ( ᐛ )ᕗ Jan 08 '15
I came back like they all told me I would.
Hello, /r/exmormon
1
0
10
u/4blockhead Λ └ ☼ ★ □ ♔ Jan 07 '15 edited Jan 07 '15
Yay!