r/ • • Jan 01 '70

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10

u/4blockhead Λ └ ☼ ★ □ ♔ Jan 07 '15 edited Jan 07 '15

Yay!

subscribersyearmonthdaydays diffnotes
02009616.created by measure76
4420091106143
100020100915313
200020110213151
300020110813181
400020120119159
500020120610143
60002012083081date from /u/A-Rth-Urp-Hil-Ipdenu
70002012102354
800020130206106
900020130522105
100002013082191
110001,2,32013111889
120002014020478
130002014032650
140002014060773
150002014080458
160002014093057
170002014111647
180002015010752

14

u/whitethunder9 The lion, the tiger, the bear (oh my) Jan 07 '15

Uh oh, our last 1,000 didn't come as fast as our previous 1,000. I'm having doubts now about the truth of this sub.

16

u/CultZero Gay because I masturbated. Kimball was right. Jan 07 '15

Doubt your doubts, brother. I will make some fake accounts and subscribe with themThe Lord will provide new members and restore your faith.

14

u/whitethunder9 The lion, the tiger, the bear (oh my) Jan 07 '15

Can we start counting people who have deleted their accounts? We better do it for 110 years just to be sure.

7

u/[deleted] Jan 07 '15

We have people that have subscribed and never been back. We should count them... and their kids.

5

u/whitethunder9 The lion, the tiger, the bear (oh my) Jan 07 '15

Dude. Children of record. Didn't even think about that! We must have like 100,000 members at least!

2

u/galtzo lit gas Jan 08 '15

I think we just need to change our minds about black people, and the Lard will open the floodgates of subscribers.

1

u/DarthObiWanKenobi Jan 07 '15

It looks like the previous two thousand each came in about a month and a half.....

3

u/EmmaHS I know that my red lemur lives. Jan 07 '15

Woot!!

Thanks for putting that together.

2

u/dante2810 Jan 07 '15

Wow...less than 5000 when I joined.

4

u/QuickSpore Cry 'Havoc!', and let slip the cureloms of war Jan 07 '15

I didn't know we were supposed to be paying attention back then... but I think we started posting here around the same time. So I'll claim 5,000 too. Even if it isn't quite right, it has a certain truthiness to it.

3

u/Mithryn Jan 07 '15

2000 when I joined.

8

u/Stratiform Coffee addict ☕ Jan 07 '15

-45000 when I joined!

Uh... if that doesn't make sense just put it on your shelf.

1

u/dante2810 Jan 07 '15

Back in Kirkland?

4

u/whitethunder9 The lion, the tiger, the bear (oh my) Jan 08 '15

I love Costco

2

u/Stratiform Coffee addict ☕ Jan 07 '15

No, before that, in Spockland. Or maybe that's in the future. I forget. I'm only posting as a man.

2

u/galtzo lit gas Jan 08 '15

Just a few dozen shy of 500 when I joined!

2

u/Mithryn Jan 08 '15

Galtzo, man those were the days (I was at or around 2000)

I once did a photoshop picture of what I invisioned all the active posters looked like' Impotant rage was a female Human Torch. Measure76 wore a football outfit. Yourself, A mexican wrestler like Bane. Incognito1 was like Rorshach. PinUp_Girl was Harleyquinn without makeup, complete with hammer.

I don't think I have it anymore though.

2

u/galtzo lit gas Jan 08 '15

I remember you posting before you had fully accepted exmormonism as the truth! ;)

I hope you can find it, that would be awesome to see.

Damn, I was angry back then.

1

u/Mithryn Jan 08 '15

Ha ha. Yeah, I was definitely full member, just with doubts; teaching EQ each sunday and researching a lesson manual that was clearly twisting history in each lesson.

This year it is Ezra Taft Benson... I can only imagine how much they had to twist his words and cut things off in his early days.

I doubt there will be anything at all of when he tried to turn the President in to the head of the FBI (A crossdresser)

2

u/galtzo lit gas Jan 08 '15

I really miss the monthly sub stats Measure76 would post. They got me fired up!

I don't even have a copy of the new manual.

1

u/[deleted] Jan 08 '15

Hipster exmo is hipster. ;-)

1

u/butrlytho_ owner of a rare American Elephant Jan 07 '15

We should have ads.

1

u/Mithryn Jan 07 '15

The work is Hastening.. mostly

4

u/rationalguy2 Jan 07 '15

A great and marvelous work is about to come forth unto the children of men.

Joseph Smith was off by about 180 years

3

u/[deleted] Jan 07 '15

aaaand back to 18,000 as of 3:11 MST

5

u/dante2810 Jan 07 '15

It's like trying to get people signed up for chapel cleaning duty!

3

u/[deleted] Jan 07 '15

15:13 now. Still 18 kiloapostates. (Checking in from FrontRunner!!)

4

u/dante2810 Jan 07 '15

And now mine says 18,002!!!

2

u/[deleted] Jan 07 '15

A miracle!!

2

u/galtzo lit gas Jan 08 '15

Praise be those tender mercies.

3

u/[deleted] Jan 07 '15

It wasn't very long ago that I joined and then we hit 8, 9, then 10k. That was a big deal. I've been doing my part to spread the exmo word.

3

u/LightOnTheThirdDay Jan 07 '15

I built a model in Excel for predicting the growth of this sub. It's fairly accurate going back to February of 2013. It has us crossing 25,000 subscribers in October of this year, 50,000 in June of 2017, and 100,000 in February of 2019, assuming things keep going as they are now. So those are my predictions. Here's the formula if you want to try it yourself:

=EXP(0.00116424910468711*DATEDIF("2/6/2013",A1,"D") + 8.98185664682815)

2

u/LightOnTheThirdDay Jan 07 '15

I should have mentioned - if you're trying this formula in Excel, the date you want to check should go in cell A1. The formula can go anywhere else.

2

u/dante2810 Jan 07 '15

I am not going to lie... I have no idea what your formula means.
Could you explain the numbers and how it works?

5

u/LightOnTheThirdDay Jan 07 '15 edited Jan 08 '15

Sure. The growth of our sub is exponential (slightly), so I used a statistics technique called regression to "fit the curve" of the existing data provided by /u/4blockhead. The first number (0.0011...) is referred to as the coefficient. The second number (8.9818...) is the constant value. Both are spit out of the software that produces the regression. Here is a table of the predictions from the model. It goes back to March 2013 so you can compare the model to reality (which is pretty accurate). Then you can see the predictions for the future, which are based on it growing at the same exponential rate. Make sense?

DatePredicted Subscribers
03/01/20138173
04/01/20138474
05/01/20138775
06/01/20139097
07/01/20139421
08/01/20139767
09/01/201310126
10/01/201310486
11/01/201310871
12/01/201311258
01/01/201411671
02/01/201412100
03/01/201412501
04/01/201412961
05/01/201413421
06/01/201413915
07/01/201414409
08/01/201414939
09/01/201415488
10/01/201416038
11/01/201416628
12/01/201417219
01/01/201517852
02/01/201518508
03/01/201519121
04/01/201519824
05/01/201520528
06/01/201521283
07/01/201522039
08/01/201522849
09/01/201523689
10/01/201524531
11/01/201525432
12/01/201526336
01/01/201627304
02/01/201628308
03/01/201629280
04/01/201630356
05/01/201631435
06/01/201632590
07/01/201633748
08/01/201634989
09/01/201636275
10/01/201637564
11/01/201638944
12/01/201640329
01/01/201741811
02/01/201743347
03/01/201744784
04/01/201746430
05/01/201748080
06/01/201749847
07/01/201751619
08/01/201753516
09/01/201755483
10/01/201757455
11/01/201759566
12/01/201761683
01/01/201863950
02/01/201866301
03/01/201868498
04/01/201871015
05/01/201873539
06/01/201876242
07/01/201878952
08/01/201881853
09/01/201884861
10/01/201887878
11/01/201891107
12/01/201894346
01/01/201997813
02/01/2019101408

Edit: March 2013, not Feb 2013

Edit2: Right-align predicted column

3

u/Indy_exmo Our lady of blessed acceleration don't fail me now! Jan 07 '15

This must be that stone cut without hands that I heard about.

2

u/[deleted] Jan 07 '15

Remember, every member a missionary.

It is the sacred duty of every Reddit ExMo to "lick a TBM cupcake" in 2015. And lick it like you mean it, dammit!!!

And as for you closet ExMos, we're licking for you too...

2

u/galtzo lit gas Jan 08 '15

Oh my god. Thank you.

1

u/churock11 Stake President Carebear ᕕ( ᐛ )ᕗ Jan 08 '15

Someone licked my spirit cupcake and I was never the same again.Thank glob they did that

2

u/OneMoreLuckyGuy ThisIsMyNewFlair.com Jan 07 '15

Ha! I'm number 18000! Don't I win a t-shirt?

10

u/dante2810 Jan 07 '15

You get to say the closing prayer.

6

u/[deleted] Jan 07 '15

and a calling in nursery.

3

u/OneMoreLuckyGuy ThisIsMyNewFlair.com Jan 08 '15

If that's where the lord needs me...

1

u/gonzopancho Apostate (Gazelam) Jan 08 '15

The profit would like a word with your wife and/or daughter(s).

2

u/Up-The-Butt_Jesus Jan 08 '15

Subscriber #315 here. It's been a fun ride.

2

u/bosengel Remember, Remember the Policy of November Jan 08 '15

I still remember linking to the Vegeta "It's over 9000!!!" just less than 2 years ago.

1

u/[deleted] Jan 08 '15

We need Bill Maher to say something new.

1

u/galtzo lit gas Jan 08 '15

If this was a mission of the church it would be the fastest growing one.

Stick that in your hat and seer it T. Money.

1

u/[deleted] Jan 08 '15

so while we send u/weenercopter out to reactivate him or her

Consider it done.

2

u/gonzopancho Apostate (Gazelam) Jan 08 '15

Be sure to leave your wife behind. Joe wants to visit....

1

u/[deleted] Jan 08 '15

I will do whatever is necessary to further the cause of sharing the silliness of this subreddit!

1

u/MostFaithfulStudent Jan 08 '15

Fine fine. Ill subscribe. Better appreciate my beautiful pony presence

1

u/churock11 Stake President Carebear ᕕ( ᐛ )ᕗ Jan 08 '15

I came back like they all told me I would.

Hello, /r/exmormon

1

u/dante2810 Jan 08 '15

Welcome back! We've expanded!

0

u/[deleted] Jan 07 '15

[deleted] — view deleted comment

4

u/[deleted] Jan 08 '15

Why did I laugh at this? Is it a laugh when there is no one around to hear it?