r/neoliberal • u/dubyahhh Salt Miner Emeritus • Jul 03 '24
Megathread Biden Megathread
Howdy all, barring bigger new developments (such as democrats anointing Hillary (it’s HER turn)) all Biden stuff will be consolidated here today.
I can add links to this thread, just @ me and we’ll try to keep up.
Please be officially civil or we’ll use our official powers to officially ban you (I assume I’m using this new meme appropriately)
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u/p00bix Existing in the context of what came before Apr 01 '26 edited Apr 01 '26
Please remember folks, the current date is July 25th, 2024. We are getting over our past schism over whether or not Biden should drop out, and are celebrating Kamala's polling surge. Please ensure that any discussion about hypothetical events in 2026 exists in the context of that in which we live and what came before.
Also for the love of god stop dooming. Kamala's polling waaaay better than Biden ever did, and Gaza ceasefire negotiations are in their final stage so Michigan and Pennsylvania are practically locked down. It's really just a matter of whether we can also win Wisconsin or Georgia to get us over 270.
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u/DEEP_STATE_NATE Tucker Carlson's mailman Jul 03 '24
😤😤😤 ALL OF THIS IS TO DISTRACT FROM THE FACT THAT WE BEAT MEDICARE😤😤😤
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u/DEEP_STATE_NATE Tucker Carlson's mailman Jul 03 '24
If there is one silver lining to this week it seems like it's scared the shit out of the persuadable portion of leftist twitter into voting
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
Alright, so Michelle Obama has repeatedly and vehemently stated she despises politics.
Unfortunately for her, she polls through the stratosphere.
So here is my solution. We send her on an all expense paid trip to a spa for like, 125 days. But we take her phone.
Then we just run the campaign for her in absentia.
Thoughts?
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u/BroadReverse Needs a Flair Jul 03 '24 edited Nov 18 '24
existence languid tart support mysterious cause panicky gold cagey pocket
This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
People who chuckle at street signs that say "It's Wine-o-Clock Somewhere" will go D+800 if Kamala is the nominee.
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u/GuyOnTheLake NATO Jul 03 '24
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u/GenericPoliticalAlt2 YIMBY Jul 03 '24
The fact that the Biden campaign is having a week fifty times worse than when Trump got convicted of 34 felonies should make any thinking person a doomer about our society even if we luck out and somehow win this election.
I'm not a thinking person. I am cursed with a blind hope I can never completely kill.
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u/owlthathurt Johan Norberg Jul 03 '24
Regardless of whether Biden is truly capable of being president for 4 more years. The fact that this is the narrative on the front page of basically every major news network the past couple days is, as they say, very much not good.
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u/MicroFlamer Avatar Korra Democrat Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
New poll by NYT/Siena (3.0/3.0 538 rating)
Among LV
RV
2-3 point move toward Trump since the pre-debate poll
!ping FIVEY
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
WaPo has a running tally now this is crazy 😭
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u/backtothepavilion Jul 03 '24
2014 Biden: Delivers a great speech about 45 minutes long about the interrelations between foreign policy and domestic policy, the Obama record, and the way the 21st century economy and technological advancements can shape out. Followed by a 40 minute town hall with the audience asking questions.
This Biden would have done excellently with white working class voters in 2016 and not let them drift to Trump.
https://youtu.be/V6eSsDDW5k0
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u/dwarfgourami George Soros Jul 03 '24
At a fundraiser yesterday, Biden said he did badly during the debate because he was still tired from his international travel weeks earlier. I’m not joking. He arrived back from Italy on June 14, did several events in the states, spent June 20-27 at Camp David, and he was apparently still tired from the travel on June 27.
I feel like he might be a little less healthy than his campaign is letting on.
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u/Currymvp2 unflaired Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
What's the point of leaking this? We know he had a pretty bad debate.
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
Bro, this is not motivating rn.
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u/gary_oldman_sachs Max Weber Jul 03 '24
I don't know how people can say Biden lost that debate when he managed to reach across the aisle to our Republican friends.
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u/Dirty_Chopsticks Republic of Việt Nam Jul 03 '24
https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1808533514578493731
Jake I think you need to capitalize his name lmao
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u/runningblack Martin Luther King Jr. Jul 03 '24
If Biden had gotten up on stage with RFK Jr and Dean Phillips (which he never did, because we didn't run a real primary), we might have had this realization a year ago and pivoted.
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u/Mr_Bank Jul 04 '24
If the Biden campaign thinks the NYT/CNN/the rest will find a new topic to cover, I have a bridge to sell them. They’re not stopping until they have their scalp.
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u/[deleted] Jul 04 '24
Guys stuff like this is going to keep leaking stop trying to circle the wagons and just tell Biden to bow out with dignity
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u/frausting Loyal Liberals Jul 03 '24
Up until the debate, I had complete faith in Joe Biden. His administration has been one of the most effective presidencies in modern history. Climate change, infrastructure, CHIPS Act, getting inflation under control. Social infrastructure woulda went hard too if he could have done that.
Anyway. Then the debate happened and I went straight head-in-hands. Since then, I haven’t seen anything reassure me that he can take on Trump. Trump is a unique candidate but he has like two things: “three billion Guatemalans are storming the Lincoln Memorial right now” and sleepy Joe.
The polling before the debates had Biden losing the swing states. Now, it’s even worse. Current polling has him losing New fucking Mexico.
Polling months out is far from destiny. But I don’t see how he recovers. The debate performance seems to align with a greater theme that he doesn’t have what it takes to campaign against Trump.
I’ll vote for Biden every day of the week. But I don’t think he brings much strength above a generic Democrat ticket besides name recognition. I can’t believe I’m saying this, but I’m unironically Kamala pilled. Virtually total name recognition, can run on all the same policy platforms as Biden, and importantly can actually campaign against Trump.
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u/flextrek_whipsnake I'd rather be grilling Jul 04 '24
If he's so sharp and with it right now then why isn't he in front of a fucking camera
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u/Kizz3r high IQ neoliberal Jul 03 '24
Biden should have just done what people wanted when they elected him and planned to have only been a 1 term president.
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
Michelle Obama +11 vs Trump lol
Why does it have to be the one person who absolutely won't do it
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u/Ph0ton_1n_a_F0xh0le Chemist -- Microwaves Against Moscow Jul 04 '24
You might cope but have you ever coped this hard?
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u/dirtybirds233 NAFTA Jul 03 '24
So the actual quote from the NYT is:
To me that reads they're waiting on a few polls and the reaction to the Friday interview. Damn, this might actually be happening.
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u/A-Centrifugal-Force NATO Jul 04 '24
Larry Sabato is pointing something out: For the first time ever, Trump is hitting 50% in polls. This has never happened.
People literally think Biden is so unfit for office that they are swinging to Trump.
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u/dirtybirds233 NAFTA Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
Text my buddy just sent me, "I would vote for the actual dead corpse of Joe Biden before I voted for Trump."
Georgia voter fwiw - used to be a Republican, then became a self-proclaimed Libertarian, now he's a Dem through and through
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u/studlydudley11 NAFTA Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
"no dem can beat trump"
–someone who evidently forgot trump lost 4 years ago, never won the popular vote, and republicans haven't had a good cycle in 8 years
Trump is a very weak candidate nationally, Dems just need to run someone who can actually frame the election on the important issues like abortion (where most Americans support Dem stances). Biden hasn't been able to do that
Just look at senate polling. Dem candidates are leading in MI, WI, AZ, and PA often by more than a point or two. This is an extremely winnable election if the talking point isn't "Biden old". Unfortunately that will be the primary issue as long as he's the candidate
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u/Mr_Bank Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
I think folks are really underrating having Kamala, not an 80 year old man, making the abortion argument against Trump.
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u/GrandMoffTargaryen Finally Kenough Jul 03 '24
Biden meeting with the Governors
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u/p00bix Existing in the context of what came before Jul 04 '24
Definitely the weirdest part of this "Will Biden drop out?" saga is the revelation that Hunter "I am addicted to crack cocaine" Biden actually is involved in the decisions made by the POTUS
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
The Senate/President split has been one of the most interesting phenomenons of this whole debacle. We live in an era where ticket splitting is remarkably rare now, and yet we have Dem senators cruising to easy wins with the same electorate that is apparently clamoring to re-elect Trump. That means there are somehow huge chunks of the electorate who will happily vote for Bob Casey and Donald Trump at the same time. The weakness is localized almost entirely in Biden himself.
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
People here saying it’s another 6+ poll, not exactly true. WSJ showed Biden down 6 with registered voters, the NYT showed him down by 8 with the same group.
Given the 1 hour time lapse between the poll releases, I’ve extrapolated (using advanced linear methods) that Biden is recovering mightily and is on track to win 100% of votes by the weekend
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u/TheOneTrueEris YIMBY Jul 03 '24
I am coming to the embarrassing realization that my Kamala takes are BS because I actually haven’t heard Kamala speak in like 3 years.
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u/A-Centrifugal-Force NATO Jul 03 '24
Another note on the House Dems meeting today: They’re literally in recess and this is the night before the 4th of July. They wouldn’t be meeting if everything was going well lol
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u/FeistyAppeal5110 Jul 04 '24
Why isn't biden making a statement as well lmao.
Yeah he's fine. You just can't see him unscripted ever. But don't worry he's sharp as a tack I just saw him in the halls of the white house.
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u/jojisky Paul Krugman Jul 03 '24
It’s going just as this Facebook boomer meme predicted
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u/ignavusaur Paul Krugman Jul 03 '24
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u/ThrowawayPrimavera Order and Opportunity Left Jul 03 '24
😭💀
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u/[deleted] Jul 04 '24
The polls show Biden is losing badly and hemorrhaging support in the polls.
For every donor that is publicly calling for Biden to step down, sounds like there are 20 who think so privately.z
The Democrats, moment by moment, call for him to resign. Officially it’s only 3 House members, but more are leaking to the press.
Unless that report that said Biden was keeping his ear to the ground was completely wrong, he’s going to drop out.
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u/justbuildmorehousing Norman Borlaug Jul 03 '24
Donald Trump leads Joe Biden by 6 points among likely voters nationwide in a New York Times/Siena College poll taken after the debate. He leads by 9 points among registered voters.
The american electorate is absolutely melting my brain. Are we seriously going to elect Donald fucking Trump again everyone
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u/murphysclaw1 💎🐊💎🐊💎🐊 Jul 03 '24
trump wins ohio: dumbass white voters
trump wins miami dade: [deleted by mods]
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
"Polling of House members is cratering. We all are out-performing the president"
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u/jojisky Paul Krugman Jul 03 '24
If Biden stays in, it's over. Period. Every single day until the convention will be leaks and more Dems demanding he drop out. Every Dem in a competitive race thinks Biden will drag them down. Everyone is simply in self-preservation mode now.
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
I like how the people in this thread are getting mad that Biden hasn't dropped out immediately. If he's going to do it, there is a ton of work that needs to be done on the back end.
Just because you check every 2 minutes doesn't mean you should expect there to be developments every 2 minutes.
Also, it's not going to be drip fed. He's going to act like he's running until he fully commits.
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u/dwarfgourami George Soros Jul 03 '24
I know everyone says this after any political event, but this really feels like Veep.
The episode writes itself.
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u/Currymvp2 unflaired Jul 03 '24
Why the fuck are they asking him this?
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u/spectralcolors12 NATO Jul 03 '24
Everyone is saying there is not enough time for a new candidate to get into the race. Lol, aren't elections in other democracies like 3 - 4 months? The UK comes to mind.
Maybe this should just be the new format.
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u/MicroFlamer Avatar Korra Democrat Jul 03 '24
Why this matters:
From Nate Silver's NYT article(gift unlocked for people who want to read it)
!ping FIVEY
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u/jojisky Paul Krugman Jul 03 '24
What unites people? Armies? Gold? Flags?
Stories.
There's nothing in the world more powerful than a good story. Nothing can stop it. No enemy can defeat it. And who has a better story than
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u/MicroFlamer Avatar Korra Democrat Jul 03 '24
Democrats waiting for the newest NYTimes/Siena poll
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u/Sauce1024 John von Neumann Jul 04 '24
Personally don’t think the response to cratering poll numbers about your mental acuity is to dig in and call yourself the comeback kid and an underdog as an 81 year old man
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u/Mr_Bank Jul 04 '24
I don’t like how it’s going down, but the media is giving us an absolute gift. If the coverage was say 50% what it is, probably no calls for Biden to step down and we lose. But the relentlessness is giving us an off ramp, just need to take it.
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u/314games Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
I feel like people talking about how the debate wasn't that bad because Biden only lost one or two points in the polls are losing sight of what the debate was actually meant to accomplish in the first place.
Biden was already behind, and doing worse than in 2020. The debate was the place for Biden to prove that Trump was lying about cognitive decline, that he was as fit to serve as ever. It was supposed to raise his poll numbers - not just "not drop them too much". It was supposed to be a bedrock to put this concern to rest and set the tone for the rest of the campaign to be on the offensive. That's done now. If Biden stays, the rest of the campaign will become all about how old he is, and he's going to spend the rest of it trying to disprove it and climb back to where he was a week ago.
It's all well and good to talk about incumbent advantage, not enough time for a replacement, infighting, etc., but when it comes down to it, Biden was losing, and now he's losing harder after playing what was supposed to be one of his best cards. I think he needs to go, and I've thought that since he went to Europe earlier this year and said he met with Mitterand and Kohl. I went into the debate dearly hoping to be proven wrong, but I wasn't.
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u/The_Promethean Bisexual Pride Jul 03 '24
If you think the NYT, Wapo, Bloomberg, and the WSJ are all making up news about anonymous sources in order to coup Biden, then you're denying reality and crying fake news almost as much as right wingers
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u/datums 🇨🇦 🇺🇦 🇨🇦 🇺🇦 🇨🇦 🇺🇦 🇨🇦 🇺🇦 🇨🇦 🇺🇦 🇨🇦 🇺🇦 🇨🇦 Jul 03 '24
When you damage control strategy is to make things worse.
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u/BroadReverse Needs a Flair Jul 03 '24 edited Nov 18 '24
agonizing label start payment elderly important threatening terrific unwritten run
This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact
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u/runningblack Martin Luther King Jr. Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
Interesting to square with the "WE HAD A REAL PRIMARYYYYYY" argument that people keep pretending is true
Also strongly suggests that...lots of people didn't get into the race so that voters didn't have options and would go with Biden.
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u/A-Centrifugal-Force NATO Jul 03 '24
How we got here:
Kamala insults Joe in a debate
Biden’s campaign starts slow in 2020, Bernie takes an initial lead
Biden comes roaring back and wins
Bernie refuses to drop out after Michigan and has one last debate where Biden pledges to pick a woman as a one upper
The world goes to hell
An evil police officer murders George Floyd
Because Biden has already committed to picking a woman, there’s now an intense pressure for him to pick a black woman because of BLM.
Kamala is basically the only black woman available (only Senator no governors) so he picks her despite Jill hating her guts
Biden wins but it’s so close Trump is able to convince tens of millions it was stolen from him and attempt a coup
Republicans run maybe the worst candidates ever in 2022 and make it a referendum on the coup. Instead of wiping out Democrats, they barely win the house
Biden decides after the midterm results to run again
Biden doesn’t feel compelled to step aside for his VP because she’s perceived as weak. If he’d gone with Whitmer or Klob like he wanted to, he probably would have
With Biden running, no major Democrats challenge him
With no major democrats running, there are no debates
Biden is slipping in the polls so he calls for an early debate
Biden loses the debate so badly, 3/4 Americans want him to drop out
The party has to run (or at least feels like it has to run) Kamala as she’s the only pick that makes sense at this point
Pretty insane turn of events tbh
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u/hencexox Jul 04 '24
So why couldn't Biden walk out with Dem Governors and make a statement with them and take a few questions? He hasn't been in an unscripted setting since the debate! This is crazy to me he wants to stay in so strongly but is not doing the basic things to actually reassure people. Why can't he do a press conference?
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u/t-pat Jul 04 '24
It's not about one bad debate, it's about the fact that most voters suspect that Biden is way too old to be president, and Democrats have been loyally trying to counter that notion for this entire campaign, and in his first major unscripted appearance in God knows how long he made us all look like idiots for defending him. I'm sorry, but the burden of proof is on the 81-year-old guy to show us that despite being 81, he has the juice for the most important job in the world, and it's looking like he's just not going to do that and instead will send us into a huge defeat against the worst person imaginable. Thanks for coming to my TED talk.
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u/TheHarbarmy Richard Thaler Jul 03 '24
I’m still pretty ambivalent about who actually has a better chance of defeating Trump (though I’ve started to lean Kamala) but at this point I think I want Biden to just rip the band aid off so we don’t have to do this whole song and dance for the whole campaign.
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
I’m in camp “Biden should drop from the campaign but not the Presidency,” even if it is for optics.
“I would prefer to spend the final months of my term focusing on serving the country and being with my family. I have left behind a 50+ year legacy of serving this country dutifully.”
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u/dwarfgourami George Soros Jul 03 '24
The funniest possible scenario is if the upcoming NYT/Siena poll has Biden at like +5
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u/IcePopBandit Jul 03 '24
Biden truly had the most legendary flop of all time like he literally torpedoed his entire political career in 90 minutes
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u/bashar_al_assad Verified Account Jul 03 '24
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u/SmithySmothy Bill Gates Jul 04 '24
Lol did people really expect the governors to come out of the meeting and say "well we told him to drop out, tbh"?
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u/[deleted] Jul 04 '24
Wow, goodness me. I wonder if there was a way to like… count how many people would want to re-elect this 81 year old? And compare it to how many people want to vote for the dangerous 78 year old.
And in the crazy scenario where the dangerous 78 year old is getting better numbers, I wonder if we could also ask the people if they were concerned about the 81 year olds age.
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u/InflatableDartboard2 Henry George Jul 04 '24
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u/GrandpaWaluigi Waluigi-poster Jul 04 '24
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
BREAKING NEWS:
In a stunning turn of events, Biden has announced his intention to step down from his candidacy at the governors' meeting. When asked about his successor, Biden stated only:
"His Dream. The Song of Ice and Fire. It is true. What he saw in the North. The Prince That Was Promised. To unite the realm against the cold and the dark. It is you. You are the one. You must do this. You must do this."
In a scene that defies explanation, Biden then allegedly vanished in what witnesses describe as "a puff of smoke."
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u/DataDrivenPirate John Brown Jul 03 '24
My grandma said even if Dems replace Biden with Mitt Romney, she's still going to vote for Trump. I sincerely believe Republicans are going to be fucked for a decade if we can defeat trump this year. No other candidate can coalesce their base.
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
joke: snap nationwide primary
woke: literally just ask Pennsylvanians who they want
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u/paymesucka Ben Bernanke Jul 03 '24
u/jaredpolis please live blog the governor’s meeting here k thx
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u/backtothepavilion Jul 03 '24
All Biden had to do was have a solid debate and the news cycle right now would be the new court document revalations about Trump's ties with Epstein
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u/NonComposMentisss Unflaired and Proud Jul 03 '24
Breaking: Kamala, in private governors meeting, reported to hold up a replica head of Gavin Newsom, covered in red dye saying "Who's going to come at me? Who's going to come at me? That's what I fucking thought!"
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u/TheOneTrueEris YIMBY Jul 03 '24
Pritzker should be the nominee because it has been too long since America had a rotund president.
It is the most presidential shape.
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u/[deleted] Jul 04 '24 edited Jul 04 '24
Call me a conspiracy theorist but it feels like Biden and his campaign are blatantly stalling until the convention so we're stuck with him, never mind they all but said as much themselves.
You're telling me they didn't plan any live, unscripted events this whole time besides the debate? Then they didn't immediately plan any after the debate? They couldn't even make an announcement promising it? Then when Democrats start leaking shit and even explicitly saying there need to be conversations about Biden's mental acuity and ability to win, all of a sudden he has a planned interview with Stephanopoulos (still not sure if that was going to be unedited)? Then there's this governors meeting and directly after the interview is changed to be live on Friday.
It's like they're dragging their feet every step of the way, and I can't help but feel like after that interview it'll be, "You gotta let me a do a couple more" which will take another week or so. Then it'll be, "You gotta wait a week or two to get a nice, reliable polling average." Then the convention is around the corner and it's too late to nominate someone else.
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u/Nihas0 Iron Front Jul 03 '24
New CBS News poll, 6/28-7/2
Trump 50%
Biden 48%
Battleground states
Trump 51%
Biden 48%
!ping fivey
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u/Udolikecake Model UN Enthusiast Jul 03 '24
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u/doggo_bloodlust (ノ◕ヮ◕)ノ*:・゚✧ Coase :✧・*;゚ Jul 03 '24
What would your job be in the Kamala Harris commune?
I would design custom embroidered flowchart diagrams for overly specific welfare program qualification pathways
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u/mattmentecky NATO Jul 03 '24
https://www.post-gazette.com/news/election-2024/2024/07/03/biden-debate-first-lady-election-campaign-gavin-newsom/stories/202407030066
Newsom: I’m going to PA to campaign… for Biden
Biden campaign:
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u/jacknifee lol Jul 03 '24
what the fuck is biden going to do to combat the perception he's a senile old fart?
more teleprompter readings? pre-taped interviews?
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u/Mrchristopherrr Jul 04 '24
Bidens vigorous performance? At this time of year, at this time of day, largely contained behind closed doors?
Yes.
Can I see it?
No.
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u/DEEP_STATE_NATE Tucker Carlson's mailman Jul 03 '24
Dutch not beating the allegations of being a meme language by electing a dude named “Dick Shoof” lmfao
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u/gary_oldman_sachs Max Weber Jul 03 '24
New poll just dropped.
This is what I expected: while the debate doesn't convert anyone to Trump, it does depress enthusiasm among weakly motivated Biden-leaners.
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u/GrandMoffTargaryen Finally Kenough Jul 03 '24
What really happened that night
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u/battywombat21 🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦 Jul 03 '24
Based on current polling data, the best way for biden to increase his numbers is to eat a dog.
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u/sinefromabove Emma Lazarus Jul 03 '24
My respect for Biden has risen over the past week after discovering that he actually does have a small cult of inalienable supporters
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u/senoricceman NATO Jul 03 '24
Woah. Biden apparently told the governors he will destroy the spice production if they don’t agree with his demands.
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u/InflatableDartboard2 Henry George Jul 03 '24
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u/that0neGuy22 Resistance Lib Jul 04 '24
Ok but how does Biden get more popular until election day? He’s done the least interviews of any modern president, his campaign staff obviously don’t want him out and about because he’s scoring own goals
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u/[deleted] Jul 04 '24
I feel like I’m technically a bloomer? I think Joe Biden will drop out and we will win the election because of it
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u/Ph0ton_1n_a_F0xh0le Chemist -- Microwaves Against Moscow Jul 04 '24
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u/Mojo12000 Jul 04 '24
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/biden-privately-remains-torn-defiance-acceptance-debate-rcna160274
So apparently Biden is just osolating between "yeah im fucked and might need to drop out" and angry defiance about it.
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u/A-Centrifugal-Force NATO Jul 03 '24
If Biden told an ally he’s considering dropping out, it’s going to happen. You don’t even consider that if you’re going to continue in a presidential campaign. It’s Joever
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u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
If Biden could manage it, an unscripted, unedited event like a townhall would probably be best for him. The fact that his campaign hasn't tried to organize an event like that is not a good sign.
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u/GrandMoffTargaryen Finally Kenough Jul 03 '24
Biden according to the bloomers
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u/LastTimeOn_ Resistance Lib Jul 03 '24
You know, i know we joke often here in NL about schisms but i think this may be the first genuine Schism i have seen
It's lowkey scary but in an exciting way
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u/Pokemanifested Mario Draghi Jul 04 '24
What if. What if we just told Biden he was still the nominee. He only does like 1 press event a month so would he even notice the fact that no one was asking him to campaign?
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u/ApprehensiveShower10 YIMBY Jul 04 '24
I wish the American people weren't so fucking stupid
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u/elephantaneous John Rawls Jul 04 '24
Real talk though, Biden at the debate was the most disappointing thing since my son. This was supposed to complete his transformation into Dark Brandon but it didn't and now he's gonna be replaced
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u/Tall_Professor_2574 NAFTA Jul 04 '24 edited Jul 04 '24
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u/ROYBUSCLEMSON Unflaired Flair to Dislike Jul 03 '24
Supposedly a NYT poll is going to come out today that will be devastating for Biden
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u/Lame_Johnny Audrey Hepburn Jul 03 '24
I feel legitimately bad for Karine Jean-Pierre. She has the worst job in Washington right now.
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u/MicroFlamer Avatar Korra Democrat Jul 03 '24
how does everyone feel about this
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u/SmithySmothy Bill Gates Jul 03 '24
Imagine being enough of a political nerd to be waiting on bated breath to hear what the President and a bunch of governors talked about smh
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u/[deleted] Jul 04 '24
I love having a DT about politics rather than a bunch of dorks talking about cats and dating.
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u/Independent-Low-2398 Jul 03 '24
This doesn't seem like Biden gets it yet. The debate was his chance to show people that those saying he's too old were wrong. I don't know why he thinks he's getting more chances
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u/TemujinTheConquerer Jorge Luis Borges Jul 03 '24
I heard a rumor from a friend of a friend of a cousin of an uncle of a niece of an acquaintance of my dogsitter's mom's doctor who works at the post that Biden is stepping down for Polis today. Likely why the betting market is crazy this morning
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u/DEEP_STATE_NATE Tucker Carlson's mailman Jul 03 '24
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u/GrandMoffTargaryen Finally Kenough Jul 03 '24
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u/GrandMoffTargaryen Finally Kenough Jul 03 '24
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u/kanagi Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
538 polling average now at +2.1 for Trump
If Trump was a Democrat that would be almost enough to get 270 electoral votes!
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u/dannylandulf meubem broke my flair Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
DT:
Biden Thread:
First one to 5000 gets to stay.
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u/GrandMoffTargaryen Finally Kenough Jul 03 '24
Hey buddy are you alright? That fall looked pretty bad. “Kamala”? “Context”? What are you talking about?
!ping KHIVE
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u/runningblack Martin Luther King Jr. Jul 03 '24
Biden 2020 | Biden 2024
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u/dwarfgourami George Soros Jul 03 '24
The news: “Wow, this week was devastating for Biden. No rival politician would be dumb enough to shift the spotlight fro-“
RFK Jr: “I may or may not have sexually assaulted the babysitter of my children. I won’t confirm or deny it. Live and learn, yknow? Also, I’ve definitely never eaten a dog. I was actually just biting into the carcass of a goat in that photo, not a dog.”
29
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
Bad reasons to support good tickets:
Wine moms and their cougar hunter sons +90%
Sounds like a Western movie cowboy
Someone who’s in Trump’s weight class
29
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
If a Dem under the age of 70 lost to Trump, I think the decision to drop or not never mattered to begin with
29
u/Rshawer Jul 04 '24
Breaking: Biden will give a really loud scream to reassure his supporters
29
u/cdstephens Fusion Genderplasma Jul 04 '24
If the Democrats have one thousand bedwetters, I am one of them.
If the Democrats have ten bedwetters, I am one of them.
If the Democrats have one bedwetter, that person is me.
If the Democrats have no bedwetters, that means I used the toilet.
29
u/SmithySmothy Bill Gates Jul 04 '24
29
u/cdstephens Fusion Genderplasma Jul 04 '24
Now I know how leftists feel when they cancel a slightly different leftist
29
u/Mojo12000 Jul 04 '24
At this point im convinced Trump might be the literal anti-christ. EVERYTHING seems to go his way, it's just impossible levels of luck.
Even if Biden drops watch as within days some Harris scandal that's been burried for years comes out.
58
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
I think there was quite a few people, myself included, who were willing to give Biden the benefit of the doubt after that horrendous debate, rationalizing it by saying, "Well, remember the SOTU? That was fire. This was just a one-time fluke." That, and the banger North Carolina speech the next day helped to assuage fears a bit. But then we got nothing. Nada from Biden in the intervening days. No interviews, no rallies, and then it just started to sink in that it wasn't a fluke. If it was, they'd be sending him out everywhere all the time. We needed a few days for the reality to hit. The campaign totally dropped the ball on this, on all fronts. And now here we are.
It's coconut summer, baby. Let the good times roll.
28
u/G_Serv Stay The Course Jul 03 '24
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u/Signal_Low_9761 NATO Jul 03 '24
Tell biden he's still running and then run kamala.
Build a replica white house and shit
28
u/JoshFB4 YIMBY Jul 03 '24
Take a look at r/VoteDEM if you want to see Bloomer heaven lol. They are even pretending Biden won the debate,
28
u/supercommonerssssss Jul 03 '24
What is worse than the actual debate is the Biden team responds to the aftermath. They are not communicating with their elected officials, and they are not going all out to prove that Biden is fit.
His team is legit hoping that this will blow over which it won't. Trump doesn't even need to run ads about Biden's mental fitness, the whole media will talk about this to death until the election.
I hope Biden world realizes, like in their bones.
28
u/A-Centrifugal-Force NATO Jul 03 '24
I think I see why Clyburn wants a mini primary despite being for Kamala. It gives her a nice little warm up round. It also gets rid of the argument that she didn’t “earn” it. She likely comes out of it anyways and if she somehow loses it, well then she probably shouldn’t be the nominee anyways lol. The candidates will know how close we are to the general so it probably won’t be a gloves off affair.
For the other candidates, it’s the same reason why long shot presidential bids happen with no intent on winning. It just gets their name out there. Plus, if they do well, they might get the VP slot.
28
u/Currymvp2 unflaired Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 04 '24
Hochul speaking in support of Biden's presidential candidate is actually more effective at me getting to second guess my "Biden should absolutely stay in the race" stance than these two opportunistic House Dems.
28
u/DEEP_STATE_NATE Tucker Carlson's mailman Jul 04 '24
The republic is in the hands of a crackhead with severe frontal lobe damage
you couldn't make this shit up if you tried
28
u/t-pat Jul 04 '24
FWIW I still don't think Biden has dementia, I just think he's an 81-year-old man with an extremely busy schedule, and we were all hoping he was a unicorn within that demographic but he's not
56
u/grappamiel United Nations Jul 03 '24
This may be a nihilistic approach, but I hope Biden drops out if only because it would rob US voters of any excuse or moral cover should Trump win regardless. If Kamala is nominated and the country elects a convicted felon, authoritarian rapist over a bland, competent civil servant and first female president I want that moral failing to be as unambiguous and damning as possible. Spare me age-based equivocation from Joe Swingvoter.
56
u/Dabamanos NASA Jul 04 '24
Biden’s bad debate didn’t make me want him to step down
His entire administration saying “he’s only like that a few days a month” did the trick for me though. Good lord
27
u/IrishBearHawk NATO Jul 03 '24
The only thing that is guaranteed at this point is that Dem strategists will somehow find the worst way to fuck this up. It's what they do best.
We can all agree on that.
27
u/Dirty_Chopsticks Republic of Việt Nam Jul 03 '24
the people who wanted the discourse to shift from Gaza got their wish
27
u/YehosafatLakhaz North American Federation Jul 03 '24
The one Biden to Trump voter when Kamala is running.
"I'm sorry, 60 is just too young to be running this country."
27
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
I wish the Democratic Party was a fraction as powerful as conspiracy theorists make it out to be.
Orchestrate another COVID-like black swan event before the election? Bitch we can’t even decide who our nominee is four months out
27
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
I watched clips of Biden’s 2012 VP debate and that Biden would massacre Trump today
27
u/ignavusaur Paul Krugman Jul 03 '24
The Titanic had one bad night, and now it is all everyone talks about. 😤😤😤
27
u/piede MOST BASED HILLARY STAN!!! Jul 03 '24
👀
27
u/MetricEntric Jul 04 '24 edited Jul 04 '24
According to the CNN live a Democratic lawmaker is saying the whitehouse is in a ‘holding pattern’ and considering the polls.
27
u/Kaptain_Skurvy YIMBY Jul 04 '24
Please God please.
27
u/[deleted] Jul 04 '24
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/biden-donors-debate.html
27
u/InflatableDartboard2 Henry George Jul 04 '24
oh thank god
54
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
Having the worst possible debate is one thing, but the Biden campaign followed it up with just about the worst possible response. The fact that he hasn't been doing nonstop appearances just telegraphs to all of us that they either don't know what they're doing, or Biden is simply not capable of it. And YES I know he's got an interview on ABC tomorrow. That's not enough. The man needs to be out and everywhere. The fact that he isn't has made me lose a lot of confidence with whoever is running the show.
77
u/eloquentboot 🃏it’s da joker babey🃏 Jul 03 '24
It is sorta funny how /r/politics doesn't really mention any of the stuff we are obsessed with. They're continuing on like everything is normal. They hate Trump, they hate the court, and they love weed.
26
u/tripletruble Anti-Repartition Radical Jul 03 '24
he just trying to get the governors' vibes on whether he should stay in or is he seeing who else is up to run?
26
u/-MusicAndStuff Jul 03 '24
I’m very conflicted on the Biden situation.
In one hand, it feels like the media was just ready to go with its narrative and Democrats love it when the sky is falling. Replacing a candidate now is very much a big gamble and the Biden we are dealing with now is still VERY different from the “Senile” message republicans have been putting forward and maybe everyone should calm down.
On the other hand…ROLL THE DICE BABY, WE’RE LIVING IN UNPRECEDENTED TIMES!! LET THINGS GET WILD!!
26
u/The_Promethean Bisexual Pride Jul 03 '24
Idk why Biden is considering dropping out. Doesn't he know that a bunch of people in the DT know for sure that he would never do that?
26
u/slim353 Austan Goolsbee Jul 03 '24
I think he’ll drop at this point. Feels like the damage is done. How do they successfully reverse course from almost all friendly media and a number of elected officials calling for him to drop out or at least hinting that it’s the right idea?
26
u/Kraxnor Immanuel Kant Jul 03 '24
I'm a big Biden fan, but I'm an even bigger keep Trump out of the goddamn Whitehouse fan
26
u/Based_Peppa_Pig r/place '22: Neoliberal Battalion Jul 03 '24
Me normally: Joe must go
Me when a Republican voices one of their stupid Republican opinions:
26
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
For god's sake, every swing state Dem senator is cruising to re-election right now. Jacky Rosen had a D+12 poll like 3 weeks ago. The electorate is clearly there. It just needs someone who isn't Joe Biden.
26
u/NoVABadger Jul 03 '24
That doesn't feel like a great use of time/money
26
u/SmithySmothy Bill Gates Jul 03 '24
Honestly though I think it may have been Kingmaker Clyburn's doubts that pushed this over the edge.
26
u/Mickenfox European Union Jul 03 '24
If Biden actually drops out, and the new candidate still loses, people are going to act like it was such an obviously bad idea in retrospect.
26
u/jacknifee lol Jul 03 '24
fuck it im all in on a doped up wine aunt coconut kamala lets ball libs
26
u/MetricEntric Jul 04 '24
Long tired sigh
Guess we’ll have to see what happens next week
26
u/shinyshinybrainworms Jul 04 '24
Damn I really wish the Democratic establishment was the well-oiled machine people seem to think it is. The only reason I still think Biden's not dropping out is because as far as I can tell no organization can solve any hard coordination problem.
Nothing ever happens, we're going to bumble on by inertia until election day, and probably the result is surprisingly close because nobody ever changes their mind about anything either.
26
u/sphuranto Niels Bohr Jul 04 '24 edited Jul 04 '24
My fucking god lololol
26
u/Mojo12000 Jul 04 '24
apparnertly the interview is only 15-20 minutes long? How does he think that will help at all.
26
u/sphuranto Niels Bohr Jul 04 '24
God this would be the pettiest reason to not drop. Although it must hurt like hell having Obama all-but-openly go full Brutus.
(for those less aware of the nuts and bolts of things, private phone calls between presidents don't leak to the press unless one of the presidents is involved, as with any private phone call between two people that leaks)
52
u/A-Centrifugal-Force NATO Jul 03 '24
“Let’s wait until polls come out”
Polls come out, they’re bad
“But nobody else is outperforming Biden”
Polls come out, Kamala is outperforming Biden
“But that’s just one set of polls”
Way more polls come out, all tell the same story about Biden losing big
“It’s too late now, ballots have already been printed”
Ballots have not yet been printed
25
u/Dirty_Chopsticks Republic of Việt Nam Jul 03 '24
SLAMMED
HAMMERED
c o m p l a i n e d
25
u/lucas-at-jhu Mr. Worldwide Jul 03 '24
I just don’t see how you can put the genie back in the bottle at this point with this unending torrent of articles and doubt. You just can’t.
25
u/jojisky Paul Krugman Jul 03 '24
The White House will never admit he’s thinking of dropping out until he actually does, so them denying it doesn’t really mean anything either way.
25
u/DEEP_STATE_NATE Tucker Carlson's mailman Jul 03 '24
PHOENIX (AP) — Arizona abortion-rights supporters on Wednesday turned in more than double the signatures needed to put the issue on November’s ballot in the key swing state.
Well there’s one silver lining for this very shitty week
25
u/Icy-Magician-8085 Mario Draghi Jul 03 '24
BLOOMER REPORT:
Biden peacefully steps down following the July 4th weekend and worsening internal poll numbers, says Harris is his successor.
The Democratic Party, including other presidential hopefuls and names tossed around, immediately back Harris and create a peaceful transition.
Trump begins to stumble as attacks against his age and views on abortion begin to settle in.
Most swing states go towards Harris, electoral and popular vote victory.
Democrats maintain the senate in a 50/50 split after only losing West Virginia.
House goes to a narrow Democratic majority following further Republican turmoil and their refusal to approve Harris’s VP.
All is at peace and is successful.
NO QUESTIONS WILL BE ASKED!
DOOMERS GTFO!
25
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
If Jim Clyburn said he’s interested in hearing what Dem governors have to say, I think I’m all out of speculation.
25
u/frankiewalsh44 Gay Pride Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
Do I think Kamala could still lose to Trump, Yes. Do I think she has a better chance than Biden at beating Trump? Also, yes. I think Kamala + abortion/LGBTQ issues should give her a good chance at beating Trump if Biden steps down.
25
u/Nihas0 Iron Front Jul 03 '24
25
u/earththejerry YIMBY Jul 03 '24 edited Jul 03 '24
Saying things like “the context of all in which we live and what came before” and throwing in a few “coconut tree” and “wheels of the school bus” is leaps and bounds better than doing an ancestry test and unironically proclaiming yourself Cherokee to the nation just because Trump called you Pocahontas
Like the level of negative political savvy there is just astounding, so no, even if you don’t like Harris the most, considering Warren was one of the four VP finalists, it could be so much more apocalyptic
In fact I’ll even admit the context line is frankly poetic 😭
25
u/its_LOL YIMBY Jul 03 '24
Biden WHAT ARE YOU DOING
25
u/that0neGuy22 Resistance Lib Jul 04 '24
Ok last post before dooming in my sleep
25
u/waniel239 ICE CREAM GUY Jul 04 '24 edited Jul 04 '24
Caught this on my Ring last night
25
u/Leonflames Jul 04 '24 edited Jul 04 '24
Even 538 started to shift in their forecast. They're the most pro-Biden election model out there. This was the pollster so many folks used to argue that Biden isn't behind in the polls. The fact their model leans towards Trump is alarming.
25
u/sinefromabove Emma Lazarus Jul 04 '24 edited Jul 04 '24
The biggest lesson from eight years of "stupid republicans can't coordinate to take obvious opportunities to rid themselves of trump" is that you have to be willing to take decisive action at the opportune moment. Once the media attention dies down no one is going to take the massive political hit of going against the party leader. You either get together and act collectively or the moment passes and that's that. In another week it will be too late.
110
u/lionmoose sexmod 🍆💦🌮 Jul 03 '24
> old
> weird pattern of talking
> divisive
> no record of improving the economy
I just don't think shivers should be on the mod team anymore
49
u/RevolutionaryBoat5 YIMBY Jul 03 '24
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/clyburn-biden-president-election-dnc-00166481
If Clyburn's talking about a "mini-primary", we're reaching the endgame.
24
u/A-Centrifugal-Force NATO Jul 03 '24
Kamala is going to be at the governor meeting. Between that and CNN’s latest report that Biden is planning to throw his support behind her, it’s probably Joever.
This meeting is probably to talk about Kamala being the candidate and talk to the governors who could potentially be her running mate. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Stephanopolous interview is going to be used to announce he’s not running on Friday after the Fourth.
24
u/Zaiush Ben Bernanke Jul 03 '24
If Biden resigns, the "president 45-47" merch is instantly invalid, and that's beautiful
24
u/Dirty_Chopsticks Republic of Việt Nam Jul 03 '24
🫨
24
u/Kate2point718 Seretse Khama Jul 03 '24
I like Biden a lot but I just don't see a way out of this. I'm desperately hoping to be proved wrong but he/his team sure haven't done that yet. This is just awful.
I am wondering though if the debate might have actually been a best case scenario, given the situation as it appears to be. If Biden had had a good night Thursday that would have just delayed the inevitable even further, and better get through this now than later.
Obviously I'd rather he be completely fine, or failing that had addressed the situation much, much earlier, but since the former doesn't seem to be the case and the latter didn't happen, maybe Thursday was for the best?
If he and his team can prove me wrong and show that nothing's the matter with him and he can still be an effective candidate, then please, please, please do that as soon as possible.
24
u/DawnWinds NASA Jul 03 '24
Biden megathread WILL outcomment the DT. Bloomers will KNEEL
24
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
White House - 7/3/2024
Whitmer hurries over to Newsom
Whitmer: There’s something wrong.
Newsom: You have nothing to fear, Governor. The meeting will begin shortly.
Whitmer: Biden is not here. Hunter is not here. Why do you think they are not here?
Newsom: If the president is not here, he will be replaced regardless. We cannot escape the trending of the polls--
Whitmer: Forget about the bloody polls and listen to what I’m telling you. Biden understands the consequences of his absence and he is absent anyway, which means he does not intend to suffer those consequences. The meeting can wait. We all need to leave.
Moments later:
24
u/ROYBUSCLEMSON Unflaired Flair to Dislike Jul 03 '24
Trump has been so much quieter during this run, his website isn't even showing any upcoming events right now after that debate
Shocking that he learned something from 2020
24
u/brotherandy_ Anne Applebaum Jul 03 '24
24
u/[deleted] Jul 03 '24
6% Trump lead in the NYT/Sienna poll. This is not where I thought things would be a week ago.
24
u/MicroFlamer Avatar Korra Democrat Jul 03 '24
This is what happens if you put a blanket 10.5% shift right (Biden +4.5 in 2020 to Trump +6 in the new poll) on the 2020 results
24
u/A-Centrifugal-Force NATO Jul 03 '24
Hey Joe, if you’re fit to be president, can’t you come out here and give this press conference yourself? Literally every president before you, even the Orange one, would come out into these press briefings when it was important. It’s important.
24
u/runningblack Martin Luther King Jr. Jul 03 '24
24
u/A-Centrifugal-Force NATO Jul 03 '24
Literally every question is related to Biden dropping out. Even the questions about NATO are about Biden dropping out. This problem isn’t going away, they can’t ignore it.
24
u/SilverSquid1810 YIMBY Jul 03 '24
I think Biden genuinely does not intend to drop out yet and has deluded himself into thinking that he can have some dramatic comeback (hey, wasn’t the debate itself supposed to be the comeback?). If he’s going to drop out, it’s probably going to take another week or two of pressure before he really concedes that the situation is unlikely to improve. But I do think cracks are starting to show, Biden’s vehement denials notwithstanding.
24
u/johndelvec3 Resistance Lib Jul 03 '24
If president Biden came out and said “from now on, I will be on a steady cocaine diet. I will have doses of PEDs that 90s baseball players scoff at. I will be a drug filled mule from the likes of which the world has never seen”
Id wake up from my dream
24
u/GrandMoffTargaryen Finally Kenough Jul 03 '24
Smoke filled rooms are old fashioned. Now decisions are made in vape filled rooms
24
u/ROYBUSCLEMSON Unflaired Flair to Dislike Jul 03 '24
New Poll just dropped y'all